The Jacksonville Jaguars will take on the Atlanta Falcons at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday at TIAA Bank Field. The Jaguars are 2-8 overall and 2-4 at home, while Atlanta is 4-6 overall and 3-2 on the road. 

Atlanta is favored by two points in the latest Jaguars vs. Falcons odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 45.5. Before you make any Falcons vs. Jaguars picks and predictions, you'll want to see what the SportsLine Projection Model is saying.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,300 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 12 of the 2021 season on an incredible 130-91 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY up.

Now, it has simulated Jaguars vs. Falcons 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50 percent of simulations. You absolutely need to see it before locking in your own picks.

So who wins Jaguars vs. Falcons? And which side of the spread is a must-back? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its NFL picks... If you're already a member, see the picks below!