The Illinois Fighting Illini seek their fourth consecutive victory against Nebraska when they host the Cornhuskers in a Big Ten Conference matchup on Friday. Illinois (2-3, 0-2) was 3-13-1 in the all-time series before its winning streak, which was extended with last year's 26-9 triumph at Nebraska (2-3, 0-2). Both teams are coming off defeats as the Fighting Illini were trounced 44-19 at Purdue last week, while the Cornhuskers suffered a 45-7 home loss against Michigan.
Kickoff at Memorial Stadium in Champaign, Ill., is set for 8 p.m. ET. The Fighting Illini are 3-point favorites in the latest Illinois vs. Nebraska odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 42, down from opening at 45.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college football odds page).
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The model knows Illinois boasts the top receiver in the conference in Isaiah Williams, who leads the Big Ten in both catches (30) and receiving yards (446). The junior wideout has at least one reception in each of his 30 games since switching from quarterback at the start of the 2021 season and three or more in 19 consecutive contests. Williams posted his second straight 100-yard performance last week, hauling in six passes for 113 yards against Purdue. Ole Miss transfer QB Luke Altmyer has bounced back from a four-INT performance against Penn State, avoiding any picks the past two weeks and throwing for more than 500 yards combined during that span.
The model also has taken into account that Nebraska has done well against the run this season, ranking third in the Big Ten and 14th in the nation with an average of 86.8 yards allowed on the ground. The Cornhuskers also are tied for fifth in the country with only five rushing plays of 10 or more yards permitted. The club has run the ball well itself as it leads the conference and is 13th nationally at 209 rushing yards per contest.
Now, the model has set its sights on Friday's Illinois vs. Nebraska matchup. We can tell you it is leaning Under on the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in more than 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college football picks!
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