The Miami Heat and the Los Angeles Lakers face off in a nationally televised showdown at 10 p.m. ET on Wednesday. Miami is favored by five points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 215.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). Before making any Heat vs. Lakers picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned over $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 4 of the 2021-22 NBA season up over $500 on all top-rated NBA picks this season. It's also on a stunning 110-73 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread that dates back to last season. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows Miami has been elite on both offense and defense this season. The Heat are No. 3 in the NBA in offensive efficiency, scoring more than 1.12 points per possession. The Heat are a top-seven team in field goal shooting (46.4 percent), three-point shooting (35.7 percent) and assists (24.4 per game), with elite-level offensive rebounding, free throw creation and free throw accuracy. On defense, opponents are scoring only 1.03 points per possession against the Heat, and Miami has the best field goal percentage defense in the league.

The model also knows the Lakers are talented, even without LeBron James. Los Angeles is above-average in field goal percentage, offensive rebounding and assists, with Miami struggling to prevent free throws or force turnovers on defense. The Lakers have a track record of defensive effectiveness under Frank Vogel and, this season, Los Angeles is creating havoc with a turnover creation rate of 16.5 percent.

Now, it has set its sights on Heat vs. Lakers. We can tell you the model is leaning under the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Heat vs. Lakers? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Heat vs. Lakers spread you should be all over Wednesday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!