Game 5 of the Eastern Conference Finals pits the Miami Heat against the Boston Celtics at 8:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday. Miami leads the series by a 3-1 margin. Boston is favored by 8.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is 215. Before making any Heat vs. Celtics picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model entered the conference finals of the 2023 NBA playoffs a stunning 72-38 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,900. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows the Heat have allowed fewer than 1.12 points per possession on defense. Miami creates havoc, leading the NBA Playoffs with 19.9 points per game off turnovers. The Heat have averaged 14.1 turnovers created per game during the playoffs, and opponents are averaging only 45.3 points in the paint per game while shooting 33.5% from 3-point range.

The model also knows the Celtics found their footing in Game 4. Boston scored 1.22 points per possession on Tuesday, shooting 51% from the field with 28 assists and only 10 turnovers. The Celtics have scored 1.17 points per possession during the playoffs, leading the league with a 60.0% true shooting mark. 

Now, it has set its sights on Heat vs. Celtics. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Heat vs. Celtics? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Heat vs. Celtics spread you should be all over Thursday, all from the model on a 72-38 roll on NBA picks!