The Memphis Grizzlies will try to advance to the first round of the 2025 NBA Playoffs as they host the Dallas Mavericks on Friday night in the final Western Conference Play-In game. Memphis went 48-34 in the regular season before falling valiantly to Golden State on Tuesday 121-116. Dallas was 39-43 in the regular season but dismantled Sacramento on the road on Wednesday night, 120-106, to put a playoff spot well within reach. The Mavericks won the first matchup between these teams before losing the final three in 2024-25, including a 132-97 Grizzlies win in Sunday's regular season finale. Ja Morant (ankle) is questionable for Memphis.
Tipoff is set for 9:30 p.m. ET from the FedExForum in Memphis, Tenn., where the home team is 26-15, while Dallas is 17-25 on the road. Dallas, which is the 10-seed in the West, is attempting to become the first 10-seed to ever qualify for the NBA Playoffs by advancing from the play-in. The Grizzlies are 5.5-point favorites in the latest Memphis vs. Dallas odds via SportsLine consensus. Memphis is at -234 on the money line (risk $234 to win $100), while Dallas is at +192 (risk $100 to win $192). The over/under is 221 points.
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The model has simulated Mavericks vs. Grizzlies 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it also says one side of the spread hits over 50% of the time!
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