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Dolphins vs. Saints line, picks: Advanced NFL model releases selections for Monday Night Football matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Monday's matchup between the Miami Dolphins and the New Orleans Saints
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The New Orleans Saints welcome the Miami Dolphins to the Caesars Superdome for Monday Night Football at 8:15 p.m. ET. Miami is favored by three points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is 37.5. Before making any Dolphins vs. Saints picks, you NEED to check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model..

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 16 of the 2021 season on an incredible 133-96 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. 

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP!

The model knows Miami is on a six-game winning streak and, in those six games, the Dolphins allowed only 13.2 points per game. Miami also held opponents to just 272.3 total yards per game in the last six, with opponents generating only 184.7 passing yards per contest. For the season, the Dolphins have also created 21 turnovers on defense.

The model also knows the Saints are also excellent on defense. New Orleans is coming off a dominant shutout victory over the reigning Super Bowl champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and the Saints are allowing only 20.4 points per game this season. New Orleans is above average in total defense and passing defense, including a top-five mark with 15 interceptions. New Orleans also wipes away the opposing running game, allowing 96.6 rushing yards per game and 3.8 yards per carry.

Now, it has set its sights on Dolphins vs. Saints. We can tell you the model is leaning Under the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NFL picks.

Who wins Dolphins vs. Saints on Monday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Dolphins vs. Saints spread you should be all over Monday, all from the model on a 133-96 roll on NFL picks!

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SportsLine Staff