2026 MLB Home Run Derby odds, picks: Best bets and predictions for Monday's All-Star Game event from proven expert

The 2026 MLB Home Run Derby takes place on Monday with a pair of hometown Phillies headlining the field. The event takes place at their home ballpark of Citizens Bank Park, starting at 8 p.m. ET, as Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber will look to send the fans home happy by winning. Other contenders for the MLB Home Run Derby 2026 include rookie sensation Munetaka Murakami of the White Sox, the Yankees' Ben Rice, and Boston's Willson Contreras, as the 34-year-old looks to become the second-oldest player to win the MLB HR Derby.

The Home Run Derby 2026 odds have Schwarber, who leads the majors with 32 dingers, as the +340 favorite. Murakami (+470) and Junior Caminero (+490) round out the top three. First-time All-Star Jordan Walker is at +600, with Jac Caglianone at +650 and Harper priced at +800. The biggest longshots to target with Home Run Derby bets or MLB predictions are Rice (+900) and Contreras (+1100).

Before you make any 2026 Home Run Derby picks for Monday night, you need to see what SportsLine expert Zack Cimini has to say. 

Cimini is a Las Vegas handicapper who's returned a profit across multiple sports. Entering the 2026 MLB season, Zack was 901-807-8 all-time, returning $3,852 to $100 bettors. He's also on a great run and is up +1206 over his last 109 MLB picks. Anybody following him could have seen HUGE returns!

One HR Derby best bet we can give you: Cimini likes Ben Rice (+900) as a value play. 

"With the rule changes of no longer using a timer and excluding bonus time of 450 foot home runs, I believe that boosts the chances for Rice," Cimini said. "The extra time we have seen some of the heavyweight participants get and knock out a hitter will not happen. Rice I could see advancing far enough to have a hedge opportunity to cash out on, and making him a worthy play at 9-1 odds."

Cimini's top pick to win is a player who's shown the ability to "pile up home runs!" You ABSOLUTELY need to see Cimini's picks and analysis of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby before you lock in your picks!

What are the best bets for the 2026 Home Run Derby? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out who you should be all over on Monday, all from the expert who's up +1206 over his last 109 MLB picks!