2023 NCAA Tournament: Creighton vs. Baylor prediction, odds, line, spread picks for Sunday's game from proven model
Teams looking to reach the Sweet Sixteen for the first time in two years clash when the No. 3 seed Baylor Bears face the Creighton Bluejays in an NCAA Tournament South Region second-round game in Denver on Sunday. The Bluejays (22-12, 14-6 Big East), who are looking for their fifth-ever trip to the Sweet Sixteen and first since 2021, have compiled a 15-24 all-time record in 23 NCAA Tournament appearances. The Bears (23-10, 11-7 Big 12), who won the 2021 national championship, lost in the second round of last year's tournament. Baylor is 21-14 all-time in 14 NCAA Tournament appearances.
The game from Ball Arena will tip off at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Bluejays are favored by 1 point in the latest Creighton vs. Baylor odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 143. (See up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college basketball odds page.)
Before making any Creighton vs. Baylor picks, or NCAA Tournament selections, you need to check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Div. I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters the 2023 NCAA Tournament 79-53 on all-top rated college basketball picks this season, returning nearly $1,300 for $100 players. Anybody who has followed the model has seen HUGE returns!
The model knows the Bears have four players averaging in double-figure scoring, led by senior guard Adam Flagler. He is coming off an 18-point and five-assist performance in the first-round win over UC Santa Barbara. He has reached double-digit scoring in each of the last five games, including a 20-point effort in a 73-58 loss to Iowa State on March 4. In 31 games, all starts, he is averaging 15.6 points, 4.7 assists, 2.5 rebounds and 1.3 steals per game. He is also connecting on 42.6% of his shots from the floor, including a blistering 40.8% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free-throw line.
But the model also knows junior center Ryan Kalkbrenner has been a difference-maker for the Bluejays. He is coming off a dominant performance in Friday's first-round win, scoring 31 points, grabbing seven rebounds, blocking three shots and dishing out two assists. He has scored 20 points or more in three of the past four games. In 31 starts, he is averaging 15.9 points, 6.1 rebounds, 2.2 blocks and 1.3 assists in 32 minutes of action. He is connecting on 71.7% of his field goals and 78.3% of his free throws.
Now, the model has set its sights on Creighton vs. Baylor. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see the model before locking in any college basketball picks.
Who wins Creighton vs. Baylor? And which side of the spread covers over 50% of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Creighton vs. Baylor spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a roll on college basketball picks!
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