T-Mobile Park will host the 2023 MLB Home Run Derby on Monday at 8 p.m. ET. Pete Alonso headlines the event as a two-time winner, but he has considerable competition in a strong eight-player 2023 MLB Home Run Derby bracket. Luis Robert is the top seed, and the field also includes former MVP Mookie Betts and noted slugger Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Caesars Sportsbook lists Alonso as the +300 favorite (risk $100 to win $300) on the money line in the latest 2023 Home Run Derby, with Guerrero Jr. right behind at +450.

Before you lock in your 2023 MLB All-Star Home Run Derby picks, you need to see what SportsLine baseball expert Matt Severance has to say.

Matt Severance is a well-connected writer and high-volume handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. After joining SportsLine, Severance quickly established himself as a top expert in multiple sports. Over the past two MLB seasons, Severance is up an incredible $6,966 for $100 bettors. That includes a 68-32 run in his last 100 bets.

For the MLB Home Run Derby 2023, we can tell you that Severance is fading Pete Alonso. He believes Alonso "isn't having a particularly good season at the plate overall and has been really struggling since returning from a stint on the IL due to a wrist issue." As a result, Severance sees better value elsewhere.

Instead, Severance is backing a surprising underdog to win it all! You ABSOLUTELY need to see Severance's picks and analysis of the 2023 Home Run Derby before you lock in any picks or brackets!

So who is the surprising underdog to back in Monday's Home Run Derby? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out who you should be all over on Monday, all from the expert who is up almost $7,000 on MLB picks!