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2021 Holiday Bowl odds, picks: UCLA vs. N.C. State picks and predictions from advanced computer model for Tuesday's college football bowl game

The SportsLine Projection Model, which is up almost $3,600 over the past five-plus years, has run 10,000 simulations for the 2021 San Diego County Credit Union Holiday Bowl between the Bruins and Wolfpack
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Update: The Holiday Bowl has been cancelled due to COVID-19 issues

The UCLA Bruins (8-4) and the 18th-ranked North Carolina State Wolfpack (9-3) meet Tuesday for the first time in more than 60 years in the 2021 Holiday Bowl in San Diego. The Bruins won both previous meetings, beating N.C. State 21-12 in 1959 and 7-0 in 1960, with both games in Los Angeles.

Kickoff is set for 8 p.m. ET at Petco Park. The Wolfpack are two-point favorites in the latest UCLA vs. N.C. State Holiday Bowl odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 60.5. (See the latest college football lines for the upcoming bowl games on our college football odds page.)

Before you decide on any N.C. State vs. UCLA Holiday Bowl picks or college football predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also entered the second week of the 2021-22 college football bowl season on a 43-30 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen HUGE returns.

The model has taken into account that N.C. State has one of the nation's top 20 passing offenses, averaging 288.4 yards per game through the air. QB Devin Leary has thrown for 4,433 yards and 35 TDs, with just five interceptions. The Wolfpack have three receivers with more than 500 yards, led by Emeka Emezie with 802. Thayer Thomas (596) has a team-high eight receiving TDs, and Devin Carter averages 17.9 yards per catch. The N.C. State defense allows 331.7 yards (23rd in FBS) and less than 20 points per game (18th).

The model also has considered that UCLA quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson runs the nation's 12th-best rushing attack. RB Zach Charbonnet has rushed for 1,137 yards and 13 TDs, while Thompson-Robinson has 609 yards and nine scores. The quarterback also has 2,409 passing yards and 21 TDs, throwing just six interceptions. The Bruins defense is better against the run (126.8 ypg, 29th in FBS) than the pass (260.2, 111th). The unit will be missing top tackler Qwuantrezz Knight, who is out with COVID.  

The SportsLine model has simulated Tuesday's UCLA vs. N.C. State Holiday Bowl matchup 10,000 times, and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over on the total, and it also says one side of the spread has all the value. You absolutely need to see it before locking in your own picks.

Who wins Tuesday's UCLA vs. N.C. State matchup in the Holiday Bowl? And which side of the spread has all the value? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the N.C. State vs. UCLA spread you should be all over Tuesday, all from the computer model on a 43-30 run on its top-rated college football side picks!

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SportsLine Staff