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Sat 10/23 | 4:00 PM UTC | Lubbock
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Kansas St. Wildcats 6-4, 6-3 ATS
KSTATE -1
KSTATE -110
Over 60.5
Texas Tech Red Raiders 5-5, 5-4 ATS
TXTECH +1
TXTECH -110
Under 60.5

Expert Picks

Kansas St. 25 @ Texas Tech 24 | 10/23 | 4:00 PM UTC

Texas Tech PK

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Obviously, there can't be ties in college football but simply out of principle I will always pick a game at pick'em, because if I can't simply predict the winner of a game then I don't belong here -- which means I totally just jinxed myself on this one. K-State has lost three of four and in those four has allowed teams to convert on third down 47 percent of the time. That Wildcats defense allows opposing QBs to complete a whopping 72 percent of their passes. Texas Tech is unbeaten in its four games when it hits 40 percent on third down.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+557 10-4 IN LAST 14 CFB PICKS

Season Splits

6-4, 6-3 ATS
5-5, 5-4 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
60%
3-2
4-2
67%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
50%
1-1
1-1
50%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
50%
2-2
2-2
50%
When Line was 58 to 62
SPREAD
When Line was 58 to 62
100%
1-0
0-0
0%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
0%
0-1
0-1
0%
vs Teams That Win 50-70% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <50% of Games
0%
0-1
3-1
75%
vs Teams Allowing >32 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 25 to 32 PPG
0%
0-0
0-0
0%
After <=8 Days Off
REST
After <=8 Days Off
0%
0-0
0-0
0%
vs TXTECH
HEAD TO HEAD
vs KSTATE
0%
0-0
0-0
0%