Past Expert Picks
Miss. State @ Georgia | 11/22 | 12:30 AM UTC
The first thing I thought of after Georgia’s tough recent three-game stretch against the best defenses in the SEC was how the Bulldogs were going to destroy the disaster that is the Mississippi State defense in defiance of how they get picked on nationally for not being a fluid offense. Kirby Smart is going to let the offense score as much as it wants. There is value on the total up to 48. Over is the play.
Georgia will start USC Transfer QB JT Daniels, a two-point upgrade over Stetson Bennett. The Bulldogs are averaging 29 points per game with average quarterback play, while allowing 21 points per game. Mississippi State had an extra week to prepare and learn the Air Raid offense. Starting QB K.J. Costello could be back in the saddle. I comfortable betting Over up to 46.
I understand the thought process that Mississippi State’s offense will struggle due to tough competition, COVID-19 issues and a season that seems lost. I also understand the thought process that Georgia’s offense will continue to struggle because … let’s be real … it has struggled for the better part of the season. This week is different, though. JT Daniels is scheduled to get the start under center for Georgia, and coach Kirby Smart will do all that he can to open things up in the passing game as much as humanly possible. Because of that, the Over will hit with ease.