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college-football - Sun 11/22 | 12:30 AM UTC | Carter-Finley Stadium |

Liberty @ NC State

Odds by William Hill Sportsbook
ATS
NCST -4
-3
Over / Under
66.5
65.5
ML
NCST -180
-170

Matchup breakdown

Liberty
NC State
PROJ SCORE
6-3
6-3
6-3
-0.2
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Past Expert Picks

Micah Roberts

Former Vegas Bookmaker
Sat 11/21

Liberty @ NC State | 11/22 | 12:30 AM UTC

NC State -5

LOSS

Liberty has won all eight of its games (6-2 ATS) with a balanced offensive attack that averages 490 ypg and a suffocating defense. Hugh Freeze has done an amazing job of recruiting talent in less than two years. But I’m betting this is the end of the road to its great story of being undefeated in 2020 college football. NC State is cheap here and it has covered five of its last six, playing all ACC opponents during that span. NC State is the play.

+790 9-1 IN LAST 10 CFB PICKS

Barton Simmons

Chief of Personnel
Fri 11/20

Liberty @ NC State | 11/22 | 12:30 AM UTC

OVER 65

LOSS

This is another showcase opportunity for Hugh Freeze, who is looking for his third ACC win of the season. I’m not sure if he gets it, but I am confident in his team scoring a lot of points. On the other side, Tim Beck has been one of the best offensive coordinator hires of the offseason and N.C. State has found some rhythm with backup quarterback Bailey Hockman. This one will be played well into the 30s and probably higher.

+190 14-11 IN LAST 25 CFB PICKS

Bill Marzano

Veteran Handicapper
Thu 11/19

Liberty @ NC State | 11/22 | 12:30 AM UTC

OVER 66.5

LOSS

Liberty is having a dream season. The Flames are very well coached and have a dual threat QB that has done a great job of taking care of the football. Malik Willis has tossed 15 TDs with just one INT. He has also scored nine rushing TDs and leads the team in rushing. The Flames are averaging 40 points per game, which ranks 16th in the nation. The Wolfpack come into this game averaging 33 points on offense and 33 points on defense. The Over is 6-2 for both teams this year.

+892 21-11-2 IN LAST 34 CFB PICKS

Bill Marzano

Veteran Handicapper
Thu 11/19

Liberty @ NC State | 11/22 | 12:30 AM UTC

Liberty +3.5

WIN

The Flames’ dream season continues and they now have their sights set on knocking off their third straight ACC opponent. Liberty has a great coach in Hugh Freeze and a very good and mobile QB in Malik Willis. He has 15 TD passes and just one INT. Willis leads his team in rushing and has scored nine of the Flames’ 20 rushing TDs. Liberty is the better overall team and I expect them to win this game outright and keep the dream alive. The Flames are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games as a road dog.

+1215 21-8-2 IN LAST 31 CFB ATS PICKS

Liberty

PASSINGCP/ATTYDTDINTFUMLFP
RUSHINGRUSHYDTDYPCFUMLFP
RECEIVINGRECYDTDYPRFUMLFP
DEF-STSACKINTFRECFGMFGAXP
LibertyLiberty1.791.290.641.41.63.6

KEY PLAYER INJURIES TBD

*Questionable players are included in the projection.

NC State

PASSINGCP/ATTYDTDINTFUMLFP
B. HockmanBailey Hockman21/362562.131.290.0020.4
RUSHINGRUSHYDTDYPCFUMLFP
Z. KnightZonovan Knight11.8720.526.10.2211.9
R. PersonRicky Person11.2560.305.00.109.8
J. HoustonJordan Houston5.0230.214.50.034.8
B. HockmanBailey Hockman4.880.351.60.0020.4
RECEIVINGRECYDTDYPRFUMLFP
E. EmezieEmeka Emezie3.4490.4114.50.019.0
D. CarterDevin Carter2.4380.2016.30.016.2
T. ThomasThayer Thomas2.6320.3012.50.076.2
C. AngelineCary Angeline1.8290.3815.80.016.1
P. RooksPorter Rooks2.4220.139.10.014.6
D. AutenriethDylan Autenrieth1.1170.0614.90.022.6
DEF-STSACKINTFRECFGMFGAXP
N. CarolinaNorth Carolina State2.090.470.721.31.53.1

PLAYERS LISTED AS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:

Devin Leary
*Questionable players are included in the projection.

last updated: 11/21/2020 23:45 GMT