The Nittany Lions have covered five straight as home dogs, but I like the Spartans to cover this modest number. Coach Tom Izzo made a key lineup change last game, replacing Tyson Walker with A.J. Hoggard in the starting lineup. The move benefitted both players as MSU beat Indiana by 15. The Wolverines won the first meeting with Penn State by 16. That ended a streak of the road team covering five straight in this series. Tonight I'll back the road team, which sits 63 spots ahead of Penn State in KenPom metrics.