No. 16 Norfolk State vs. No. 1 Gonzaga in West Region. On paper, this looks to be one of the biggest NCAA Tournament mismatches in years. The Spartans were slight dogs in the First Four vs. Appalachian State but escaped by a point. The Zags are unbeaten and won every game but one by double digits. My model believes this spread is too high, though, with Norfolk State covering the number in 60 percent of simulations.