The Jayhawks are looking good and they've won four of five games outright as an underdog this season, but Villanova simply buries teams (86-70 average score). The Wildcats are also the No. 2 cover team at 26-12 ATS, behind only Loyola-Chicago, which includes covers in all four tourney games. I'm on Villanova, the highest-rated team in the nation, to do its thing.
35-23 IN LAST 58 CBB ATS PICKS | +1040
I'm jumping off the Loyola-Chicago party train after riding it most of the season. The Ramblers are the No. 1 cover team in the nation at 24-9 against the spread and they've won their last 14 games, including covers in their last six. But the Wolverines' resume has a little more meat to it. They're rolling too with 13 straight wins, going 10-3 ATS in that span. Michigan quietly cruised to a 24-13 ATS mark this season, seventh-best in the nation. The line is cheap too; should be closer to -7.5. Michigan is the play.
It's hard to go against Loyola after everything we've seen over the last few weeks. But it's hard to see the Ramblers scoring much against a big, aggressive and successful Wolverines defense that ranks No. 8 in the nation allowing just 63.1 ppg. Now, Loyola's ranks even better (5th, 62.4). But while I can see Michigan pushing 70, I don't see Loyola keeping up.
11-4 IN LAST 15 CBB PICKS | +678
In the CBI's best-of-three finals, the home team is 15-1 straight-up. Every previous year but one, the eventual champion lost the opener on the road, then took the last two on its home court. Fans flock to the last game to provide crowd support and, with North Texas drawing well above its average Wednesday, a strong turnout is anticipated. The Mean Green is on a 4-1 ATS streak, quite the opposite of the Dons' 2-8 slide. Some stats from Game Two were telling -- a 13-rebound advantage for the home side with just three turnovers. Anything close to a repeat, and the crowd will go home happy.
24-14-1 IN LAST 39 CBB ATS PICKS | +925
I was all set to select Northern Colorado in light of UIC?s challenging itinerary. The Flames played in Lynchburg, Va., Wednesday night, then bused to Washington D.C. and flew to Denver. A 50-plus mile bus trip followed. But the Flames? 10-1 ATS hotness on the road cannot be ignored. Only two players logged more than 30 minutes Wednesday (33 and 36), so the team should not be leg-weary. This is a team that adjusts during periods of travel and should keep the margin in single digits.
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