Jose Berrios is much better at home. Though, one of his worst starts of the season was in Cleveland, where he allowed the Guardians six earned runs over 4.2 innings. Conversely, Cal Quantrill has been worse on the road. Still, he receives lots of offensive support, as the Guardians have won six straight of his starts. The over is 11-1-1 in Quantrill’s last 13 starts, and I don’t see either team walking away from this game without at least a few runs. Consider a play on the over tonight.

Took Thursday off to clear my head after some absurdly bad beats this week, so I'm ready to go Friday ... and I love the Jays here, although a bit overpriced (not a -1.5 runline guy). Cleveland had to travel Thursday after winning in Detroit in extra innings and has really taxed its bullpen the past few days. One of the team's best in the pen, James Karinchak (1.72 ERA), can't travel to Canada because he's not vaccinated. The Jays are in a funk but thanks to a Wednesday rainout got two days off, so they should be recharged. At home, they are simply different. Jose Berrios is 6-0 with a 3.23 ERA at Rogers Centre. The Guards' Cal Quantrill is significantly worse on the road (2-5, 4.96 ERA).