When the Aztecs don't meet expectations (i.e. don't cover), they typically bounce back strong with a dominant performance. It happened in their two-game set against Colorado State and I expect it to happen again tonight versus Nevada. The line has fallen two points from the first matchup and now there's value on San Diego State. Lay it.

Game 1 between these schools was much closer than anticipated (a five point San Diego State win on Thursday). I know Aztecs coach Brian Dutcher figured out yesterday that Nevada is a two-player team: Grant Sherfield and Desmond Cambridge Jr. Stop those two, and this is a 20-point stroll.