loading...
Wed 07/06 | 11:05 PM UTC | Philadelphia
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Washington Nationals 40-80, -1968 ML
WAS +1.5-120
WAS +180
Over 8-105
Philadelphia Phillies 65-52, +330 ML
PHI -1.5+100
PHI -220
Under 8-115

Expert Picks

MLB | Washington 3 @ Philadelphia 2 | 07/06 | 11:05 PM UTC

Philadelphia -1.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Juan Soto was out of the lineup again yesterday and Nelson Cruz was also scratched before the game. The Phillies have also won 13 of the last 14 games between these teams. They did only win 8 of those 13 games by multiple runs, but 12 of those 14 games were also on the road. Aaron Nola dominated the Nats his first time against them this season pitching eight scoreless innings and he was 3-1 with a 2.51 ERA in June. Josiah Gray did pitch six scoreless innings against the Phillies earlier this season and he is much better on the road, but he was hit hard in his last outing. I like the run line at -110.

Season Splits

40-80, -1968 ML
65-52, +330 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
34%
29-54, -1629
43-38, -57
53%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
39%
15-23, -69
23-20, -381
53%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
31%
22-47, -1476
28-22, -377
56%
When Line was +164 to +194
MONEY LINE
When Line was -229 to -199
25%
4-12, -454
5-1, +142
83%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
40%
15-22, +31
20-14, -158
58%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
38%
8-13, -146
9-11, -410
45%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
11%
1-8, -647
16-13, -304
55%
3rd game without a day off
REST
2nd game without a day off
36%
23-40, -910
4-5, -246
44%
vs PHI
HEAD TO HEAD
vs WAS
16%
1-5, -354
5-1, +206
83%
when Josiah Gray starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Aaron Nola starts
46%
7-8, +98
7-9, -402
43%