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Mon 05/16 | 10:40 PM UTC | Miami
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Washington Nationals 29-51, -1329 ML
WAS +1.5-140
WAS +165
Over 8-105
Miami Marlins 36-40, -635 ML
MIA -1.5+120
MIA -185
Under 8-115

Expert Picks

Washington 2 @ Miami 8 | 05/16 | 10:40 PM UTC

OVER 8

WIN

ANALYSIS: On the road, the Nats score an average of 5.88 runs per game, more than any other team. Aaron Sanchez has allowed his opponents at least three earned runs in all of his four starts. Sandy Alcantara has been solid, and did well in Washington, but the Nats' road offense should be more of a threat. Both teams do very well against right-handed pitchers, and the Marlins' bullpen was busy yesterday. There's value in the over tonight.

author-image

Allie O'Neill

Allie-Bama
+549 8-2 IN LAST 10 MLB PICKS

Season Splits

29-51, -1329 ML
36-40, -635 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
32%
12-25, -879
16-19, -423
45%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
41%
7-10, +87
8-9, -201
47%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
31%
10-22, -725
9-8, -122
52%
When Line was +147 to +177
MONEY LINE
When Line was -205 to -175
25%
2-6, -288
1-1, -47
50%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
43%
7-9, +187
5-6, -225
45%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
25%
3-9, -656
5-5, -144
50%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
27%
5-13, -793
11-12, -276
47%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
32%
9-19, -629
10-15, -558
40%
vs MIA
HEAD TO HEAD
vs WAS
0%
0-4, -400
4-0, +267
100%
when Aaron Sanchez starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Sandy Alcantara starts
40%
2-3, +50
4-4, -97
50%