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Sun 08/01 | 5:05 PM UTC | Washington
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Chi. Cubs 51-55, -592 ML
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Over 8.5-120
Washington Nationals 48-56, -836 ML
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Under 8.5+100

Expert Picks

Chi. Cubs 5 @ Washington 6 | 08/01 | 5:05 PM UTC

OVER 8.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: I'm fading the pitchers for both clubs and taking the Over. Cubs RHP Adbert Alzolay has been tough to trust over the last few weeks and struggles mightily against left-handed hitting, of which the Nationals have plenty. Washington RHP Erick Fedde has been even worse, registering a 7.50 ERA and 1.75 WHIP since the All-Star break. I expect there to be little problem getting runs on the board in this series finale.

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Justin Perri

Model Guy
+283 6-3 IN LAST 9 MLB O/U PICKS
+500 5-0 IN LAST 5 CHC O/U PICKS

Season Splits

51-55, -592 ML
48-56, -836 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
48%
51-55, -592
48-56, -837
46%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
37%
20-34, -1212
28-26, -299
51%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
35%
20-36, -893
24-16, +121
60%
When Line was -110 to +120
MONEY LINE
When Line was -130 to -100
40%
11-16, -420
19-14, +273
57%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
28%
11-28, -1283
19-11, +253
63%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
42%
12-16, -517
14-23, -702
37%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
48%
30-32, -763
25-26, -430
49%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
43%
35-45, -1037
36-39, -551
48%
vs WAS
HEAD TO HEAD
vs CHC
66%
4-2, +157
2-4, -259
33%
when Adbert Alzolay starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Erick Fedde starts
35%
6-11, -554
8-8, +116
50%