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Sat 07/31 | 11:10 PM UTC | Flushing
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Cincinnati Reds 55-49, +432 ML
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Over 9+100
N.Y. Mets 54-48, -283 ML
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Under 9-120

Expert Picks

Cincinnati 4 @ N.Y. Mets 5 | 07/31 | 11:10 PM UTC

UNDER 8.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Two lefties -- Wade Miley and Rich Hill -- take the mound. So with both teams ranking in the bottom half against lefthanded pitching, I’ll be on the Under. Miley pitched very well the last time he faced the Mets, on July 20, allowing one earned run and striking out eight in 6.1 innings. Citi Field also is still one of the best Under environments in baseball, with a 32-15 record for the Under this season. Plus, just three of the last nine games at the park have gone Over. I’ll take this one to stay low-scoring.

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Justin Perri

Model Guy
+283 6-3 IN LAST 9 MLB O/U PICKS
+295 5-2 IN LAST 7 NYM O/U PICKS

Season Splits

55-49, +432 ML
54-48, -283 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
52%
55-49, +432
54-48, -283
52%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
55%
29-23, +1075
32-19, +373
62%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
47%
24-27, +417
34-26, -480
56%
When Line was +100 to +130
MONEY LINE
When Line was -140 to -110
43%
13-17, -175
14-13, -198
51%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
55%
21-17, +1097
26-14, +178
65%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
63%
21-12, +785
22-23, -128
48%
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
38%
13-21, -515
34-29, -285
54%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
52%
39-36, +243
36-30, -14
54%
vs NYM
HEAD TO HEAD
vs CIN
50%
2-2, -6
2-2, -21
50%
when Wade Miley starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Rich Hill starts
66%
12-6, +479
1-0, +105
100%