Washington 4 @ Baltimore 5 | 07/25 | 5:05 PM UTC
ANALYSIS: There are a few factors pushing me toward the Over. I'm happy to fade Baltimore LHP John Means in his second start back from the IL. He struggled against the Rays last time out, allowing five runs in five innings while recording only two strikeouts. I also don't have much faith in Washington RHP Paulo Espino, who has an 89-mph fastball and bottom-tier strikeout numbers, as well as a high expected slugging percentage of .453. We also have weather that supports a good hitting environment and an umpire that is 12-7 on the Over this season. A tight strike zone could help us get a few crucial walks and the winds blowing out should help bring them home. Grab the Over.