The Mets have finally started to lose again, dropping their last two, but I like this matchup for them at this price. Dallas Keuchel is starting for the Braves, and he's been pretty ordinary since joining their rotation. His ERA is at 4.83, and his strikeout rate is 22 percent below league average for MLB starters. Also, while he's still elite at getting batters to hit the ball on the ground, he's proven to be homer prone as well. So when he is giving up fly balls, he's giving up hard-hit ones. Plus, the Braves bullpen has been a tire fire of late. It has an ERA of 6.99 over the last 30 days, which is the worst in MLB in that period.