The Milwaukee Bucks and Indiana Pacers meet in a semifinal matchup of the 2023 NBA In-Season Tournament in Las Vegas at 5 p.m. ET on Thursday. For this game, SportsLine consensus lists the Bucks as 5-point favorites, while the over/under is 257 points (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). Before making any Pacers vs. Bucks picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 7 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a sizzling 92-50 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows the Pacers are led by a budding star in Tyrese Haliburton. He produced his first career triple-double in the quarterfinal win over Boston. Haliburton is averaging 26.9 points and a league-leading 11.9 assists per game this season. Haliburton is also shooting 44.7% from 3-point range, and he leads the NBA's most prolific offense. The Pacers are scoring more than 1.23 points per possession, with the NBA's best field goal percentage (50.9%) and league-leading marks in assists, fast break points, and points in the paint. 

The model also knows the Bucks have a friendly offensive situation in this matchup. Milwaukee is scoring 119.2 points per 100 possessions this season, ranking in the top three of the NBA. The Bucks are No. 2 in the league in true shooting percentage (61.4% while averaging 25.0 free throw attempts per game. Indiana's defense is also struggling quite a bit on defense, with the Pacers giving up 1.2 points per possession and allowing 50.2% shooting for opponents.

Now, it has set its sights on Pacers vs. Bucks. We can tell you the model is leaning Under the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Pacers vs. Bucks? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Pacers vs. Bucks spread you should be all over Thursday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!