The Los Angeles Lakers take on the Memphis Grizzlies in a Western Conference showdown at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday. Los Angeles is favored by 3.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 222.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before making any Lakers vs. Grizzlies picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 8 of the 2021-22 NBA season up almost $2,000 on all top-rated NBA picks this season. It's also on a stunning 121-78 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread that dates back to last season. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows the Lakers are shooting at a high level this season. Los Angeles is in the top eight of the NBA in both field goal percentage (46.5 percent) and two-point percentage (53.5 percent), with the Lakers averaging 24.5 assists per game. The Lakers also put pressure on the rim, creating 21.7 free throw attempts per game and drawing fouls consistently. Los Angeles pushes it in transition, averaging 15.3 fast break points per game, and the Lakers can create transition opportunities with a top-six mark in forced turnovers (15.8 per game) this season.

The model also knows the Grizzlies are elite in a few key areas. Memphis is No. 2 in the NBA in offensive rebound rate, securing more than 32 percent of missed shots. The Grizzlies are also in the top five in assists, averaging 25.4 per game, and Memphis is scoring more than 1.1 points per possession. On defense, the Grizzlies are leading the NBA in both steals (10.0 per game) and blocked shots (6.2 per game), with Memphis also landing above the NBA average in free throw prevention. 

Now, it has set its sights on Lakers vs. Grizzlies. We can tell you the model is leaning under the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Lakers vs. Grizzlies? And which side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Lakers vs. Grizzlies spread you should be all over Thursday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!