Fantasy football recap -- What we learned from Week 1

What a first week of football! Without preseason action, Week 1 of the 2020 NFL season was even more unpredictable than usual.

The 5'9" and 196 pound Nyheim Hines operated as Indianapolis' goal line back and finished as a top-five Fantasy RB. Chris Carson matched his season-high for touchdown catches in the first half, as Seattle did the unthinkable and #LetRussCook. The Panthers put up 30 points in the first game of the Joe Brady and Teddy Bridgewater era, but it wasn't Christian McCaffrey or D.J. Moore that led the team in Fantasy scoring. No, instead Robby Anderson finished with 115 yards and a score on six catches. Sammy Watkins led the Chiefs in receiving. Someone named Quintez Cephus saw double digit targets. And while all this was happening, the Nuggets beat the Clippers to force a Game 7. Who thought it was a good idea to schedule an NBA Playoff game at noon on a Sunday?!

Week 1 was certainly a strange one, but if you're anything like me, you reveled in the strangeness for 12-straight hours and were left wanting more by the time the night ended in perfect fashion with a questionable call to end the Rams-Cowboys game.

If so, here is the more you've been craving: a deep dive into the snaps, routes run, targets, red zone work, and everything in between from every game on Sunday. Enjoy!

Offensive pace and scheme notes from Week 1:

Neutral (only counts plays that came when it was a one-score game) pass-to-rush rate standouts with +/- compared to the 2019 season in parentheses:

Philadelphia Eagles -- 75% (+16%) (Meaning they passed the ball on 3/4 of offensive plays in neutral game scripts, up from 59% in 2019)
Atlanta Falcons -- 69% (+6%)
Seattle Seahawks -- 69% (+16%)
Indianapolis Colts -- 68% (+16%)
New York Jets -- 67% (+11%)
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Los Angeles Chargers -- 45% (-20%)
Los Angeles Rams -- 44% (-16%)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -- 39% (-20%)
Baltimore Ravens -- 36% (-8%)
New England Patriots -- 33% (-28%)
Minnesota Vikings -- 31% (-24%)

Houston Texans 20, Kansas City Chiefs 34

Game script context -- The Chiefs led 17-7 at halftime and opened the second-half with a quick touchdown-scoring drive. This put Houston in catch-up mode for the remainder of the game, which caused Houston to go away from the run. Likewise, Kansas City went with a vanilla gameplan from that point on, which resulted in a huge day on the ground for rookie running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire.

Stock Up: Will Fuller, David Johnson, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Sammy Watkins, Jordan Akins

Fuller -- Fuller was targeted 10 times (31 percent target share) and saw 51 percent of the team's air yards in the first game without DeAndre Hopkins. He was used all over the field -- lining up in the slot on 19 percent of his routes and coming down with several short and intermediate targets. Fuller looked the part as Houston's true number one receiver, and he was one Watson underthrow away from finishing with over 150 yards and a touchdown on the day. He should be treated a top-20 Fantasy WR going forward with the upside to finish as the WR1 if he plays a full 16 game season.

Johnson -- DJ played 74 percent of the snaps and looked explosive. He also was targeted four times and ran a route on 32 of Deshaun Watson's 40 dropbacks. Duke Johnson is questionable for Week 2, and we could see David Johnson continue to play nearly 80 percent of the snaps for the foreseeable future.

CEH -- The Chiefs fed their first-round rookie more carries than I expected to see him get in a single game all season, and he looked excellent as an open-field rusher. CEH's inability to convert six goal-to-go carries was a bummer, but even Derrick Henry would have failed on all but one of those carries. Just like he has done in the past with small backs like Brian Westbrook, LeSean McCoy, and Jamaal Charles, Andy Reid will get more creative with CEH around the goal line in moments that matter. CEH's 67 percent snap rate is great for his first pro game, and Darrell Williams struggled to do anything with his third down work. I believe it is only a matter of time before we see CEH as an every-down player.

Watkins -- Watkins was Patrick Mahomes' most-targeted player and led the Chiefs in receiving in Week 1. He also saw four red zone targets, which included a scripted screen to get him in the end zone. He looked like the impact player we saw in the playoffs, and for as long as he's healthy, Watkins will likely be a boom-bust top-30 Fantasy WR.

Akins -- Akins is a former third-round pick with lots of talent, and he had another strong camp in 2020. He saw just two targets in the opener, but one was a 19-yard touchdown. More importantly, Akins out-snapped Darren Fells 48-25. He ran a route on 32 of Watson's 40 dropbacks. There's a chance that Akins is less involved in a more neutral game script, but Week 1 was encouraging enough to put a waiver claim in if you need TE help in a deep league.

Stock Down: Mecole Hardman, Brandin Cooks, Deshaun Watson, Duke Johnson

Hardman -- The game script likely had something to do with it, as Hardman is among Kansas City's worst run-blocking wide receivers, but still, a 28 percent snap rate in Week 1 is not what Hardman owners wanted to see. I'm not going out of my way to drop Hardman yet, though. If you drafted him, a big part of the appeal with Hardman was his potential if anything were to happen to the oft-injured Sammy Watkins or Tyreek Hill. I certainly hoped for Hardman to have earned a larger role in year two, but I'd keep holding onto the lottery ticket for as long as possible if stashing him on my bench. 

Cooks -- Predictably limited, Cooks saw just a 57 percent snap rate and four targets in the season opener. I'd prefer not to drop him either, but it's certainly not good news for Cooks that Will Fuller appears to have established himself as the alpha in this offense.

Watson -- The line allowed pressure often, and Watson was sacked four times in total. The weapons were underwhelming outside of Fuller and David Johnson, and Watson looked a bit uncomfortable all game. I was much lower on Watson than consensus this season, and it had much more to do with his surroundings than Watson himself. The ecosystem just seems fragile at the moment, and we could realistically be one Will Fuller hammy pop away from Houston being a below league average unit offensively. The rushing was nice and should keep Watson among the top seven Fantasy QBs, but I would much rather have Kyler Murray or Josh Allen on my Fantasy squad.

Seattle Seahawks 38, Atlanta Falcons 25

Game script context -- Seattle got up to a big lead and forced the Falcons to abandon the run. Todd Gurley ended up playing just 45 percent of the snaps, but that to be higher when the Falcons are playing in a more neutral game script.

Stock Up: Seattle's passing offense, Calvin Ridley, Russell Gage

SEA -- It's just one game, but Seattle finally let Russ cook. The result -- A predictable offensive onslaught. Wilson was 31-35 for 322 yards and four touchdowns, and he got all of his primary weapons involved. D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett each saw eight targets, and Chris Carson caught six passes for 45 yards and two scores. That's the good news for Carson, but it's also worth noting that he played just 28 snaps and saw six carries to Carlos Hyde's 21 snaps and seven carries.

Ridley -- Matt Ryan attempted 54 passes on the day, so the receiving numbers were boosted a bit for Ridley, Julio Jones, and Russell Gage. Ridley, in particular, benefited from the game script and piled up the Fantasy points in garbage time. Six of his catches, eight of his targets, and both of his touchdowns came on the final three drives for Atlanta, who had completely abandoned the run by that point. Still, he tied Julio for the team lead in targets, accounted for 31 percent of Atlanta's air yards, and finished as Fantasy's WR2 on the week -- all while facing a talented Seattle secondary.

Gage -- Atlanta's slot receiver matched Jones and Ridley with 12 targets in Atlanta's opener. I think it was mostly a matchup thing, as Gage presented the clear path of least resistance among Ryan's targets on Sunday. But, as Adam Levitan pointed out, Gage has averaged 7.8 targets in 10 games since Mo Sanu was traded last season. That number was boosted by injuries late last season, but it wouldn't be out of the question for Gage to average six targets per game going forward. He's worth an add in PPR formats.

Stock Down: Hayden Hurst, but do not overreact to one week

Hurst -- The nine percent target share is a massive disappointment. On a day Matt Ryan threw for 450 yards, Hurst only came up with 38. The matchup against Jamal Adams and Seattle's revamped secondary certainly did him no favors, but Hurst needs to show more chemistry with Matt Ryan if he's going to live up to his sleeper hype.

The encouraging takeaway is a 78 percent snap rate. Atlanta has some much easier matchups on the horizon, including Week 2 against the Dallas Cowboys. Don't drop him in any leagues with more than six teams.

Indianapolis Colts 20, Jacksonville Jaguars 27

Game script context -- This was a close game throughout, with Jacksonville actually forcing the Colts into more pass-heavy game scripts as the game went on.

Stock Up: Parris Campbell, Jonathan Taylor, Nyheim Hines, James Robinson, Laviska Shenault

Campbell -- My favorite late-round sleeper of the year certainly looked the part in his 2020 debut. Indy's 2019 second-round pick led the Colts receivers in snap rate (83.5 percent) and targets (nine), and finished with a nine-yard schemed run and six catches for 71 yards. As expected, 95 percent of his snaps came from the slot, which should allow Campbell to consistently find winnable matchups and thrive as Philip Rivers' underneath target in what appears to be shaping up to be a pass-heavy Colts offense.

JT -- The Colts fear Marlon Mack tore his achiiles, which would open the door for Jonathan Taylor to be a dominant Fantasy producer. As a rusher, Taylor profiled as one of the best prospects to come out of the NFL Draft in years. The only real knock was his potential inability to stay on the field on third downs. Many talent evaluators were adamant that JT had the ability to be a strong pass catcher at the NFL level, and that belief was validated in Week 1.

Philip Rivers loves targeting the RB position, and that did not change with a new team. A whopping 37 percent of his targets went to the RB position on Sunday! Taylor caught all six of his targets for 67 yards and looked quite natural doing so. He failed to get much going on the ground as Indy's offensive line was much worse than advertised, but the rushing production should come. The fact that he was that involved as a pass-catcher is the real takeaway.

That's the good. It's easy to get excited about a player with Jonathan Taylor's ability seeing a clear opportunity open up for more touches in the first week. We can't ignore the bad, though. Nyheim Hines was super involved on Sunday, which isn't a surprise for anyone who bought into the overwhelming amount of positive hype that Hines received during Colts camp.

Hines -- Hines out-snapped Taylor 39-26. He came just one target short of the team lead, finishing with eight catches and seven rushes. He had two red zone targets and four red zone rushes to Taylor's one target and two carries in the red zone. Each back received a carry from within the five yard line, but it was Hines who converted. It was a terrific Fantasy day for Hines, and the volume indicates that it wasn't a fluke.

Going forward, Jonathan Taylor is the back I'd prefer to own. If Marlon Mack's injury is indeed season-ending, Taylor has the upside to finish as a top-eight Fantasy back with Rivers feeding him passes on early downs. Nyheim Hines is definitely going to retain his third-down role, but I think it will only be a matter of time before Frank Reich decides he wants an extra 30 pounds when trying to run on the goal line. The fact that Taylor saw three goal line opportunities in his first pro game is enough to convince me that he'll have every opportunity to seize control of the red zone work. Hines is still a priority add if playing in any sort of PPR format, but he profiles as more of a RB20-30 type for Fantasy -- similar to players like James White or Tarik Cohen.

Robinson -- The undrafted rookie played a shocking 68 percent of the offensive snaps in Jacksonville's win. The Jags were expected to be forced into more obvious passing situations, which would have called for more Chris Thompson (24 percent snap rate), but instead Robinson was allowed to establish himself as deserving of the heaps of training camp praise he received. He was the only Jacksonville back to receive a carry, and he turned his 16 attempts into 62 yards. Robinson also caught his only target for 28 yards. The ceiling is still low while playing in a low-volume Jags offense that is expected to play from behind most weeks. But Robinson showed enough to be considered a low-end RB2 with the upside for more in weeks the Jags are expected to be able to keep the game competitive.

Shenault -- Surprisingly, Chris Conley played just 32 percent of the offensive snaps, while Shenault (62 percent) and Keelan Cole (66 percent) both saw the field far more often. I expected Shenault's talent to win him a regular role as the season progressed, but did not expect that to be the case in Week 1 after no preseason games. This is super exciting for those who used a late-round pick on the rookie. If you missed out on Shenault in your draft, there's a chance he's available on your waiver wire.

His four targets don't seem like much, but on a day where Jacksonville only threw the ball 20 times, that actually is a respectable target share. Shenault also caught a red zone touchdown and spent a few snaps lined up in the backfield. He's one of the most exciting bench stashes in the league and might even be start-worthy with some enticing matchups coming after Week 2.

Stock Down: Marlon Mack, Chris Thompson

Thompson -- Thompson saw just two target and was an afterthought in a game that Jacksonville leaned on the run. Future negative game scripts will set up for a larger role from Thompson, but there's no way to classify this as anything but a colossal disappointment. I expected him to be a viable PPR flex option in this matchup, but this showing makes him tough to roster going forward.

New York Jets 17, Buffalo Bills 27

Game script context -- The Bills got up big early. Not much to take away from the second-half. Like with Ridley in Atlanta, we saw Jamison Crowder pile up yardage in garbage time. The Bills had a 60 percent pass rate in neutral game scripts, which was up from 56 percent in 2019.

Stock Up: Josh Allen, Zack Moss, Chris Herndon

Allen -- It definitely could have been a matchup thing, as the Jets are much worse against the pass than rush and we saw Allen go pass-heavy against them in 2019, but still, Josh Allen got his first 300-yard passing game. He finished the day with 46 passes and 14 rushes. So much for not running as much in 2020! The numbers are inflated by a league-high 81 offensive plays against a helpless Jets defense, but there are only a handful of quarterbacks in the NFL who have the ability to ever see that type of volume. I preferred Allen to Watson this draft season -- and while I think what we saw in Week 1 was mostly due to the matchup, Allen is on the cusp of a massive Fantasy season in 2020.

Moss -- Singeltary out-snapped Moss 51-39, which was to be expected in his first pro season. But it was all Moss on the goal line, as he out-touched Singletary three-zip from within the five-yard line. Singeltary's seven targets are a real surprise given his well documented struggles as a pass-catcher. But it was Moss who we saw turning a red zone target into a touchdown, and the rookie finished with four targets of his own on the day. I think there's a decent chance that he supplants Singletary as the team's starting back within the next couple weeks, and a strong Week 1 showing certainly helped his case.

Herndon -- The production wasn't exciting for Herndon in a tough matchup against the Bills, but his 71 percent snap rate and 20 percent target share are both strong for a late-round tight end. He lined up in the slot or out wide on 22.5 percent of his snaps, which is encouraging for a tight end in what is expected to be an unimaginative Adam Gase offense. The schedule doesn't get much easier for Herndon in the upcoming weeks, but some better performances should come if he remains the number two target for a Jets team that we can expect to be perpetually playing from behind.

Stock Down: Le'Veon Bell

Bell -- Le'Veon Bell was not someone I had much excitement for before this game, and things couldn't have gone much worse for him than they did. He injured his hamstring in the first half but tried to come back and play on it in the second-half before eventually leaving the game again. It has the looks of a multi-week injury, but we don't have that news yet. On top of that, New York's defense looked predictably atrocious, which is going to force the Jets to be one of the most pass-heavy teams in the NFL.

If Bell is on your Fantasy team, you likely aren't going to get any trades worth consideration after a disastrous Week 1. Hopefully your league added IR spots with the expected COVID-related complications this season, because Bell is likely not playing in Week 2 and you aren't going to want to drop a player that you invested an early pick into. Bell is not someone I'd buy-low on, if you aren't a Bell owners and were considering it. This is a really bad start to the year for someone who already had plenty of question marks coming in.

Las Vegas Raiders 34, Carolina Panthers 30

Game script context -- This one was close throughout. The Panthers came out pass-heavy under new offensive leadership, but by the second-half we saw them running the offense through Christian McCaffrey once again.

Stock Up: Josh Jacobs, Robby Anderson, Henry Ruggs

Jacobs -- There were several reports that the Raiders wanted to get Josh Jacobs more involved as a pass-catcher in his second professional season, but the team's constant pursuit of pass-catching specialists at the RB position this offseason made coach speak and quotes from Jacobs himself difficult to believe. I was out on Jacobs for most of the offseason, but as we got closer to the season and some of the question marks around players like Miles Sanders and Austin Ekeler still weren't answered, I ended up with Jacobs as my RB10. If Week 1 was any indication, that was not high enough.

Jacobs saw six targets and played 78 percent of the offensive snaps in Week 1. For reference, he had just a 55 percent snap rate last season. He ran 17 routes, up from his season average of 11.3 as a rookie. It's just one week, but it looked like a clear step forward for one of the NFL's most talented running backs. The upcoming schedule is brutal for Jacobs and the Raiders, so we won't have to wait long to see if he's going to again be easily scripted out of games where Vegas falls behind early. If Jacobs continues to ball out and play upwards of 65 percent of the offensive snaps, he will have top-five Fantasy RB value this season.

Anderson -- It was still D.J. Moore leading the Panthers in targets (nine), but offseason addition Robby Anderson finished just behind him with eight on a day Teddy Bridgewater attempted 34 passes. As numberFire's Jim Sannes pointed out, Bridgewater's deep ball rate rose from 11.7 percent last season with New Orleans to 26.5 percent in his Panthers debut. His average depth of target (aDOT) was up from 6.2 last year to 8.2 on Sunday.

I was cautiously optimistic that Joe Brady's offense would encourage Bridgewater to be more aggressive in pushing the ball downfield, and Sunday's results suggest that this offense could have a vertical component for the first time in years. If Bridgewater can keep this up, it will provide a much higher ceiling to Anderson and Curtis Samuel on a weekly basis, while also opening up more space for Moore and McCaffrey to operate.

Ruggs -- Fortunately Ruggs' second quarter injury wasn't serious, as he was deemed able to re-take the field in the second half. He wasn't targeted after the injury, which is a bit of a concern, but you should be able to trust him in Week 2 as long as practice reports are good. In the first half, Ruggs saw 93 air yards and five targets, which was good for a 33 percent target share prior to his injury.

Stock Down: Bryan Edwards

Edwards -- Bryan Edwards was one of my favorite late-round sleeper candidates, and I had high hopes for him in an advantageous matchup to open the season. His 75 percent snap rate was encouraging -- Vegas billed him as their starting wideout, and that proved to be true. Receiving just one target on the day is a massive bummer for Edwards Fantasy truthers, though.

The upcoming matchups are difficult, but they at least will force the Raiders into being more aggressive in attacking downfield. If you own Edwards in deep leagues, it's worth holding him to see if he gets a higher percentage of the target and air yard share in more negative game scripts. However, if you are in a shallow league and want to chase someone on the waiver wire, I have no problem dropping Edwards. It's unlikely that he produces much with the brutal upcoming slate of opposing cornerbacks.

Chicago Bears 27, Detroit Lions 23

Game script context -- Detroit got up early and forced the Bears to mostly abandon the run by the fourth quarter.

Stock Up: Quintez Cephus

Cephus -- Detroit's fifth-round pick played 79 percent of the snaps in Week 1, which placed him well above Danny Amendola and Marvin Hall. He also led the team with 10 targets, but was only able to bring in three of them for 43 yards. Kenny Golladay should be back before long, so Cephus is only a deep league add. If Golladay's injury persists or Marvin Jones goes down, Cephus has the upside to be a Fantasy WR3.

Stock Down: Detroit's backfield

DET -- Technically, AP's stock is up after this game. If you want to pick him up, there are a few upcoming matchups that he could be usable in for deeper leagues. He played just 31 percent of the snaps on Sunday, though, and I wouldn't expect Detroit to be playing with a big lead all that often this season. I'd look to sell high on him if possible.

Swift surprisingly led the backfield with a 44 percent snap rate, while Kerryon Johnson played just 26 percent of the snaps. Given Swift's injury designation throughout camp, I wasn't expecting him to be much of a factor in Week 1. There were some encouraging signs, though, as he scored a goal line touchdown and was targeted five times. As part of a three-man committee, Swift is still looking like a pretty bad value at ADP, but the upside remains there for a three-down role as the season progresses. Kerryon Johnson is droppable after seeing how the backfield split shook out on Sunday.

Green Bay Packers 43, Minnesota Vikings 34

Game script context -- Green Bay built a big lead early, but they did not take their foot off the gas pedal. The Packers had a 58 percent pass rate on the day and a 62 percent rate in neutral game scripts, which is much higher than I was anticipating. Minnesota tried to lean on the run but was forced to be more aggressive through the air.

Stock Up: Davante Adams, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Adam Thielen

Adams -- Adams was my WR1 for 2020, and he lived up to expectations in the first game of the season. Green Bay leaning more pass-heavy than expected is awesome news for Adams, who projects to have a target share around 30 percent as the team's unquestioned number one. He had nine catches for 103 yards and a touchdown in the first half, and his final stat line could have been even better if Minnesota would have kept this game closer. His 38 percent target share in Week 1 coupled with Michael Thomas' ankle injury make Adams the favorite to lead the WR in Fantasy scoring in 2020.

MVS -- Allen Lazard out-snapped MVS 68-42, but Valdes-Scantling was the target Rodgers looked to more often when on the field. He saw six targets on his 29 routes run, compared to four targets on 38 routes for Lazard. MVS also dominated Lazard in air yards and appears to be the higher ceiling option of the two Packers receivers.

Thielen -- Most of the production came in garbage time for Thielen, but still, it was encouraging to see him dominate Kirk Cousins' target distribution with a 32 percent share. A healthy Adam Thielen is going to eat a massive piece of the target pie each week, but the size of that pie may vary greatly depending on Minnesota's weekly opponent, which was made clear by fact that Minnesota tried to run the ball at an absurd 69 percent rate when the game was close on Sunday. The Vikings have one of the easiest schedules in the league before a brutal Fantasy playoff schedule, so Thielen is someone to consider trading if he continues to put up massive point totals over the next few weeks.

Stock Down: Aaron Jones

Jones -- Matt LaFluer seems intent on limiting Jones' opportunity for whatever reason. Jones played just 55 percent of the snaps on Sunday, and he handled only 50 percent of the red zone rushing attempts. There's plenty of room for those numbers to drop if A.J. Dillon is able to work his way onto the field with more regularity. In a game the Packers led throughout, Jones saw just 16 carries. This is simply nowhere near the type of volume you expect from a running back who was drafted in the second round. Fortunately for Jones owners, Nick Chubb, Miles Sanders, Austin Ekeler, and Joe Mixon owners are equally tilted after Week 1. It's possible you might be able to swing a trade involving Jones for one of those players, especially if Jones puts up a big performance against the Lions in Week 2.

Miami Dolphins 11, New England Patriots 21

Game script context -- The Pats led big throughout, as this was never really a competitive game. With matchups against Seattle, Kansas City, and San Francisco on the horizon, New England is going to have to throw on more than 33 percent of offensive plays.

Stock Up: Cam Newton, Myles Gaskin, Preston Williams, Mike Gesicki

Cam -- 15 rushing attempts for Cam! Don't look now, but Superman might be back. Newton finished Sunday as the QB6 in Fantasy, and he has a real chance at finishing inside the top-12 at the position if he continues to run at anywhere near that level of volume.

Gaskin -- Gaskin's 63 percent snap rate was one of the more shocking developments of the week. He saw the field more than Matt Breida, Jordan Howard, and Patrick Laird combined. He ran a route on 22 of Ryan Fitzpatrick's 34 dropbacks and appears to be the team's clear preference on passing downs. I'd expect Howard and Breida to get first crack at rushing work again in Week 2, but Gaskin is worth an add in any sort of PPR format.

Williams -- Ryan Fitzpatrick was bad enough that there really just wasn't much production to be had. That was exemplified best in Preston Williams' final line of two catches for 41 yards. On the surface, that's a terrible showing for Fantasy. But, I was actually really excited by Williams' usage in his first game back from a midseason ACL tear. He played 90 percent of the offensive snaps and ran a route on 33 of Fitzpatrick's 34 dropbacks. He also saw over 100 air yards on seven targets, so all indications are the Williams will pick up where he left off as Miami's 1A or 1B depending on the health of DeVante Parker. The upcoming schedule is difficult, so it may take til midseason for Williams' production to come close to matching his volume. 

Gesicki -- I was curious to see how Gesicki would be used with Preston Williams healthy and a new offensive coordinator calling plays. He didn't produce, but Gesicki's 73 percent snap rate and 27 routes run on 34 dropbacks are both encouraging. He also ran 71 percent of his routes from the slot, which is great news for his Fantasy value.

Stock Down: Jordan Howard, Matt Breida

Howard -- Nine snaps for Jordan Howard out of an available 62. Nine! That's insane. He received a carry on eight of the nine snaps. I'm fine dropping him in any PPR format.

Breida -- Just five touches and 14 snaps for Breida. He's also droppable if you find someone with more upside on your waiver wire.

Philadelphia Eagles 17, Washington Football Team 27

Game script context -- Philly jumped out to a 17-0 lead, but it was all Washington from there. Washington went run heavy to try to secure the a win in the first game. Without Miles Sanders or Boston Scott, the Eagles went super pass heavy to try to mount a comeback, but the injury-riddled offensive line was overwhelmed by Washington all day long.

Stock Up: Dallas Goedert, Logan Thomas

Goedert -- Zach Ertz played just four more snaps than Goedert, ran six more routes, and saw two fewer targets. Each tight end saw two targets in the red zone and scored a touchdown on one of them. 

Following Philly's 2019 Week 10 Bye, Goedert's snap rate rose from 69 percent to 81 percent and his target share rose from 12 to 18 percent. There was a clear change to get Goedert more involved, as Philly played two tight ends on the field at the highest rate in the NFL from that point on. Of course Ertz has the higher production profile, but it seems that things are swinging more in the direction of Goedert with each passing week. He's a must-own for Fantasy and a top-12 TE going forward.

Thomas -- The 2020 Logan Thomas-2019 Darren Waller comparison feels sort of lazy, but the parallels are there. He played 74 percent of the snaps in Week 1 and led the team with a 26 percent target share. 54 percent of his snaps came aligned in the slot or out wide, and it seems like he is going to continue to operate as one of Washington's easiest ways to create mismatches. Dwayne Haskins did not look good in Week 1, and expecting him to sustain ancillary weapons while also feeding Terry McLaurin seems a bit ambitious. Still, Thomas is worth an add in most leagues and has top-15 TE upside if he's going to continue to play this type of role.

Stock Down: Antonio Gibson, Philly's offense as a whole

Gibson -- We knew it was going to be a committee going in, but the hope was that Gibson's talent would shine through and allow him to carve out a 40-50 percent snap rate type of role. Instead, Gibson was on the field for just 26 percent of the offensive plays in Week 1. I'm definitely not dropping him in any size of league, but Gibson's playing time and usage in the passing game (just two targets) were both disappointing. I don't expect Washington to be running out the clock with Peyton Barber while sitting on leads very often, and I remain bullish on this offense under new leadership for all of the reasons mentioned going into the season. We took an L on Gibson in Week 1, but better days should be on the horizon.

PHI -- Carson Wentz was the NFL's most-pressured (20) and most-sacked (eight) quarterback in Week 1 while missing multiple starting offensive linemen, and he draws a matchup against Aaron Donald next. The structure is crumbling in Philly, and I would be quite worried as an owner of Wentz, Miles Sanders, Zach Ertz, or DeSean Jackson. After the Rams and Bengals in Weeks 2 and 3, Philly faces three of the best defenses in the NFL in San Francisco, Pittsburgh, and Baltimore.

Los Angeles Chargers 16, Cincinnati Bengals 13

Game script context -- This game was gross throughout. Both offensive lines struggled to protect the quarterback, and L.A.'s defense predictably gave Cincinnati problems. The Bengals had a 58 percent pass rate in neutral game scripts, which was down slightly from 62 percent in 2019.

Stock Up: Joshua Kelley, A.J. Green

Kelley -- He played just 18 snaps, but the rookie made an impact when in the game. He out-snapped Justin Jackson 18-11 and out-touched him 12-2. Kelley turned those 12 carries into 60 yards and a score, and he looked like the most explosive back in a game that involved Joe Mixon and Austin Ekeler. Kelley also had four red zone carries to Ekeler's three, and he saw the game's only two carries from within the five. Kelley was one of my favorite late-round sleepers this season because I thought he would earn an early-down role as the year went on. Never did I imagine that he'd come out and steal red zone work from Ekeler in the first game of the season.

Kelley is definitely worth a pickup, but it's possible that he'll serve more as a thorn in the side of Ekeler owners than someone with standalone value. It would be a real surprise to see Ekeler's snap rate fall below 60 percent, and without that, a 30-40 percent snap rate isn't going to get it done in L.A.'s low-volume offenses for Fantasy. There's a clear path to upside if Ekeler gets hurt, but I'm not sure you'll be able to trust Kelley on a weekly basis in his current role. He's still worth an add in most leagues, though.

Green --  A.J. Green's snap rate was a bit low (66 percent) in his first game back, but that was to be expected. I was left encouraged by his performance here, as he passed the eye test and saw nine targets and 132 targets in spite of limited playing time. If he can push that snap rate up to around 75 percent, Green should be able to dominate winnable cornerback matchups in each of his next three games.

Stock Down: Tyrod Taylor, Austin Ekeler, Keenan Allen

Tyrod -- Taylor rushed six times, but Cincinnati often had a spy. He also couldn't get anything going through the air, completing just 16 of 30 passes for 208 yards. I had hoped Taylor would be a quality streamer while playing with so many talented offensive weapons, but Sunday's showing was super discouraging. He'll be forced to air it out against Kansas City, and a strong showing in that matchup would put him back on the streaming landscape in a positive Week 3 spot against Carolina.

Ekeler -- If you would have told me we'd be panicking after Austin Ekeler had a 68 percent snap rate and 19 carries in Week 1, I wouldn't have believed you. But, Joshua Kelley looked that good, and Ekeler was not at all involved as a pass-catching weapon. If you're in a mega casual league where owners won't realize that Ekeler's usage was down in Week 1, I'd consider selling him. Otherwise, your best option is likely to hold and hope that Anthony Lynn figures out how to utilize his best offensive weapon.

Allen -- If you took my advice this draft season, you shouldn't have ended up with Keenan Allen on any of your Fantasy teams. If you do have Allen on your rosters, the time to sell is either now or after the Week 3 matchup against the Panthers. As expected, the Chargers were among the most run-heavy teams in the NFL when playing in neutral game scripts on Sunday, which is a severe change from what we've seen over the past few years. Fewer targets and less accurate targets is the issue that Allen, Hunter Henry, Ekeler, and Mike Williams are dealing with in 2020, and unless there's an injury to one of that group, I don't see how they aren't going to be Fantasy disappointments at their ADP.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23, New Orleans Saints 34

Game script context -- The Saints jumped out to a 24-7 lead and got super conservative. They had a 58 percent pass rate in the first half, which dropped to just 39 percent in the second half. Latavius Murray was fed 15 carries, 10 of which came in the second half.

Stock Up: Ronald Jones, Latavius Murray

RoJo -- Jones led Tampa Bay's backfield with a 47 percent snap rate and 17 carries. Leonard Fournette touched the ball six times on his nine offensive snaps and totaled just 19 yards. If Tampa Bay gives Jones this type of workload in a drastically softer matchup against Carolina next week, he could put up a huge Fantasy performance and secure his role as the lead back.

Murray -- The volume was boosted by the game script, but that could be a theme for Murray this season. The Saints have one of the best defenses in the NFL, and they could be playing with big second half leads fairly often. I had Murray projected for just over seven carries with a ceiling of 13.5, so his usage here was more than I envisioned as a possibility without an Alvin Kamara injury.

Stock Down: Mike Evans, Rob Gronkowski, Leonard Fournette

Evans -- Evans wasn't limited in terms of playing time, as he was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps against the Saints. He was highly ineffective, though. He was blanked by Marshon Lattimore until he caught a two-yard touchdown in garbage time with just under three minutes remaining in the game. Evans has an advantageous Week 2 matchup against the Panthers, so hopefully his hamstring is healthy enough for him to draw more than the four targets he saw in Week 1.

Gronk -- The good news for Gronk owners is that he played 77 percent of the offensive snaps. That's way higher than I expected in his first game back. The bad news is his two catches for 11 yards on just three targets. An 8.3 percent target share is not going to get it done, considering you likely drafted Gronk as a top-12 TE. It also is discouraging that Tom Brady had six red zone passing attempts and two went to O.J. Howard, while none went to Gronk.

Fournette -- Just a 13 percent snap rate for Fournette on Sunday. You can hold him in the hopes of Ronald Jones making a mistake that costs him the job at some point, but there's no guarantee that Fournette will even perform well if given a shot at starting reps. I'm fine dropping him if there's someone intriguing on your waiver wire.

Dallas Cowboys 17, Los Angeles Rams 20

Game script context -- This game was within one score the whole time.

Stock Up: Malcolm Brown, Robert Woods, Amari Cooper

Brown -- Malcolm Brown saw a 60 percent snap rate, as he played more offensive snaps (44) than Cam Akers (24) and Darrell Henderson (5) combined. He also carried the rock four times in the red zone and handled both of the carries from within the five-yard line -- both of which he converted on. I still expect Cam Akers to take this job as the season goes on, but Brown looked like the better player in Week 1 and should be a priority add for any RB needy Fantasy team heading into Week 2.

Woods -- On the first drive of the game, Jared Goff completed three passes for 60 yards. All 60 yards went to my boy Bobby Trees. On the day, Woods ended with 105 yards receiving and 14 rushing. He saw a 28.5 percent target share and led the Rams with two red zone targets. Meanwhile, Cooper Kupp caught just four passes for 40 yards on five targets. I had Woods ranked inside my top-10 Fantasy WR heading into 2020, and nothing we saw in Week 1 did anything to disprove that. He should feast on Philadelphia's subpar secondary in Week 2.

Cooper -- I really hoped we'd see more slot work for Amari Cooper in 2020, and while he did run 23.5 percent of his routes from inline or the slot, it was CeeDee Lamb who dominated the slot snaps. Still, it's hard to be discouraged by Amari Cooper's Week 1 usage. He was responsible for a massive 36 percent target share and saw more than double the amount of targets the next most-targeted player saw. Of Dak Prescott's eight red zone attempts, four were directed at Cooper. If he sees that type of usage in a projected shootout against Atlanta in Week 2, Cooper could finish as the WR1 in Fantasy for the week.

Stock Down: Cooper Kupp, Blake Jarwin

Kupp -- It's not just that Cooper Kupp didn't perform for Fantasy, it is that he played the role we saw down the stretch last year -- when he also didn't perform well for Fantasy. In 2019, Kupp averaged 2.27 yards per route run from the slot, which fell all the way to 1.69 when running routes from the perimeter.

In Week 1, Kupp ran just 55 percent of his routes from the slot. Since the start of 2019, Kupp has been targeted on 26.1 percent of the routes he's run from the slot, but he's been targeted on just 17.3 percent of his perimeter routes. As Matt Harmon pointed out, that is because Kupp has never proven to be even NFL average-level at beating man coverage from the perimeter.

Since the Rams went to more 12 personnel (the reason Kupp is seeing fewer slot routes) in Week 11 of 2019, here are the per-game splits between Woods and Kupp:

Woods -- 10.9 targets, 104.4 total yards, 19.4 PPR points
Kupp -- 6 targets, 51.1 total yards, 13.9 PPR points

Cleveland Browns 6, Baltimore Ravens 38

Game script context -- The Ravens absolutely destroyed the Browns, but their 46 percent pass rate in the second half was similar to the 49 percent mark in the first half. Cleveland did make some changes at halftime of the blowout, moving from a 58 percent pass rate in the first half to 64 percent in the second half, and the bulk of Kareem Hunt's rushing work came in the second half.

Stock Up: Marquise Brown, Mark Andrews, J.K. Dobbins

Stock Down: The Browns

Chubb -- Chubb was out-snapped 36-35 by Kareem Hunt, but the real concern was the lack of snaps outside of the backfield for Hunt. Hunt spent 31 percent of his time outside of the backfield in 2019, which allowed these two to coexist. There was some concern about whether that would be the case in 2020, as Kevin Stefanski never used two backs on the field simultaneously in Minnesota. Well, in Week 1, Hunt played just 11 percent of his snaps lined up out wide.

That's bad news for Hunt, who I had high hopes for in PPR formats. But it's also bad news for Chubb, because the team invested in Kareem Hunt before the season started. He's going to have a role. So, if Stefanski views backfield snaps as the only path to getting him Hunt on the field, that is going to come at the expense of Nick Chubb.

Of course, the game script had something to do with the playing time discrepancy, but how often should we really expect Cleveland to be playing with positive game scripts? Their defense is banged-up and let Baltimore move the ball at will. The passing offense looked just as dysfunctional as last year, which is likely to make things even harder on the defense by continually putting them in poor field position. Maybe this is all a massive overreaction to a Week 1 matchup against one of the best teams in the NFL, but the 2020 Browns looked exactly like the 2019 Browns, which is horrible news for Fantasy.

OBJ -- The ten targets are nice; Baker was at least trying to get the ball to Beckham in Week 1. Only four of his 10 targets were deemed catchable, though, and the two again did not appear to be on the same page. There's no actionable takeaway here for OBJ owners -- you aren't going to be able to get much for him after a 3-22 performance. Your best bet is to wait and hope for a better showing in a Week 2 matchup against Cincinnati.

Hooper -- The good news for Hooper is that David Njoku is out for the foreseeable future. The bad news is that he saw just two targets on a day Mayfield attempted 39 passes. I have been out on Hooper from the moment he left his goldmine of a Fantasy situation in Atlanta to play for the train-wreck that is Cleveland's offense, and his Week 1 performance was just the beginning of what is going to be a disappointing season for anyone who selected him expecting production similar to last year's breakout campaign.

Arizona Cardinals 24, San Francisco 49ers 20

Game script context -- This game was competitive throughout, which makes Arizona's decision to go super pass-heavy even more interesting to me.

Kyler Murray dropped back 51 times in Week 1. He averaged 38.8 drop backs in 2019. He topped 50 just twice all season. 65 percent of Arizona's offensive plays in Week 1 were drop backs. In 2019, Arizona dropped back on just 57% of offensive plays upon acquiring Kenyan Drake. Which should we expect going forward?

Well, there's no way of knowing for sure, but it is interesting that the only other two examples of Arizona dropping back at such a high rate both came early in the 2019 season. Kyler had 59 drop backs in Week 1 and 55 in Week 3. There was a ton of hype around the Kliff Kingsbury offense heading into 2019, and it's possible that we saw him try to implement it early in the year before scrapping it due to a lack of the necessary personnel. With DeAndre Hopkins now in Arizona and Kyler potentially set to take a step forward, it's possible that Kingsbury will be much more pass-happy than we saw in 2019.

Stock Up: Kyler Murray, DeAndre Hopkins, Raheem Mostert

Murray -- Murray rushed a career-high 13 times for 91 yards and a touchdown! He only had double-digit rushing attempts three times as a rookie. I'm not sure if we can expect him to drop back 50-plus times per game, but this was still a super encouraging Week 1.

Hopkins -- Week 1 generally went how I projected, so I have had many opportunities to take victory laps. DeAndre Hopkins stands out as one of my clearest misses, so far. I was way out on him at his ADP, but that looked pretty foolish after the Cardinals force-fed him 16 targets in his debut. If Arizona goes more run-heavy going forward, that target number is sure to drop. Also, Christian Kirk was completely thrown to the wolves in Week 1. They sent him to Richard Sherman's side and just let him be a decoy all game, which isn't going to be the gameplan in most matchups. I expect things to balance out going forward, but still, a freaking 40 percent target share for Hopkins in Week 1 should have those who got him in the late second or early third round of Fantasy drafts feeling great.

Mostert -- It definitely may have had something to do with Tevin Coleman's sickle cell situation, but Raheem Mostert's 60 percent snap rate in Week 1 was a huge W for those who trusted him with a mid-round Fantasy pick. He reached that mark just twice all season in 2019. Mostert also was targeted five times, which is the most he's ever seen as a member of the 49ers. Of course, I don't trust Kyle Shanahan to not switch things up with this backfield on a whim, but Week 1 was certainly encouraging for Mostert truthers.

Stock Down: Christian Kirk, Tevin Coleman

Kirk -- I expected continued progression from Kirk in year three after he turned in a strong season while playing through injuries in 2019. And while you can attribute some of his struggles in Week 1 to the matchup, it is brutal that there's even a possibility for him to finish with zero yards on a day Kyler Murray dropped back 51 times. I hope better days are ahead, but that was such a discouraging start.

Coleman -- Tevin Coleman played just six offensive snaps, which seems like has to be due to the circumstances in San Fran. Still, while Coleman was watching from the sideline, both of San Francisco's other backs were making plays. Mostert and Jerick McKinnon combined for seven catches, 115 receiving yards and two touchdowns on 10 targets in Week 1. Both looked explosive after strong camps. Maybe Coleman works his way back into the mix -- Shanahan seems to love him for whatever reason. But if I owned Coleman, I'd be comfortable dropping him for a more exciting option.