The Suns kept him down, bigtime, in the regular season but this is the time the biggest stars shine brightest and ANT has the Suns on the ropes and I expect him to an assassin tonight. KD is looking old and slow and the defense is sagging on this twitched up and dynamic scorer. He's also going to draw so much attention that I might dabble in his assist prop as well with a nice return available

This has turned into total one way traffic and with that first road win under their belts I don't think the Wolves let up here. MIN defensive prowess is a real problem for the Suns, and the Suns lack of quality and depth bigs who play big beyond their starting center if a problem, too. Wolves can run when they want and win in half court when they want and rotation up front leading to 50+ points in paint. ANT provides instant offense and Suns without Grayson get a lot more predictable to defend. MIN up 156-110 in paint in series. KD (3rd straight -20 game) can't take over by himself. MIN won't give away easy three-ball looks; Booker not getting enough shots off

I project another high scoring affair here as these two meet for the 9th time this season. On 7 occasions they've combined for 233 or more points and had just 203 in the other. Sure, Game 3 went OT, but even at the end of regulation there were 222 points on the board. Bucks still lacking their best bigs to defend, Pacers are a bad defensive team, and MIL can slow the pace down occasionally, but not enough to hold this under 220. The 3 meetings in IND have produced 249, 272 and 250 points. Yeah, D rules in the playoffs, and unders have been prevalent, but not here. Pacers scored 121+ in 6 of 8 vs MIL;113+ in 7 of 8.

Tatis has cooled way off after a hot start, but he sees this starter very well and many of his teammates do as well and Tijuan Waker is making his first start of the season and those can tend to go sideways quickly. Tatis has homered off him several times before and is due for a bomb himself and likes hitting at home. Padres must be licking their chops after seeing some aces lately

Neither of these teams is hitting a ton but I like the M's ability to win close low-scoring games, something they find themselves in a lot of. Logan Gilbert looks like an ace again, while the Arizona rotation has some issues, especially after the top two arms. The kid going today doesn't look anything like what he did in the playoffs (it happens) and is giving up a hit an inning. Mariners have been covering this regularly against NL teams (7 of last vs Senior Circuit). Gilbert can be downright unhittable and I like him in a day game with the sun/shadows

We have been on the young Pirates starter since his first outing of the season and continue to look for different ways to back Jared Jones. Wipeout stuff and a lot of self confidence serving him well first trip through the league. Big ballpark should help him here, I like him in a matinee and all we need is to stay lose. Giants are not a goof baseball team and we avoid some bullpen variance, Jones is 2nd in MLB in K/W ratio in the 1st 5 innings, 6th in WHIP, 9th in K/9 and 19th in BABIP (.196), forcing ugly ABs and soft contact on bad swings. He starts fast and we don't need a ton out of the Pirates bats