ANALYSIS: The Saints passing D is top notch. They don’t get beat deep and they punish you in the short passing game. Panthers aren’t a big play offense to begin with and I don’t see a lot of seven step drops. Maybe something materializes off-script, but the Saints are tough. I don’t see Dennis Allen gambling a ton on the road, even against a novice passer. He can get pressure with four. The Panthers' longest pass play was 14 yards against a far shoddier Falcons defense..

ANALYSIS: I don’t buy either offense. I don’t buy either coach really wanting to open it up. The Saints have played seven straight games that came in under 40 total points. Since Week 8 of last year their defense has allowed 14.5 PPG. Their defense is first in yards/play, yards/attempt, passing TDs (7), and oppo QB rating (70!) since Week 8, allowing just 17 total offensive TDs (2nd) and fifth in sack rate. Frank Reich will protect his rookie QB, they will try to run the ball a ton knowing his leaky offensive line is a problem. I don’t see either team playing with pace and Derek Carr in primetime usually doesn’t go well (one win in last 9).

ANALYSIS: He hasn’t looked any good since he left Houston and that won’t change here with the Steelers’ top-notch defense knowing it needs to dominate. TJ Watt will get off against a beat-up offensive line, Watson’s decision-making is dubious and he can only run so much. Game flow will dictate he has to try to push the ball downfield more against a team that tied for NFL lead in INTs a year ago. Will keep banging this at plus money.

ANALYSIS: Mike Tomlin isn’t going 0-2 here to a team he has owned (last home loss to them in 2003), and especially not in prime time (Pittsburgh has 20 straight MNF wins at home). Steelers couldn’t establish the run in runaway loss last week, but I like them to find holes in Browns Wide 9 alignment. Browns averaged 4.5 yards per pass last week, and mustered 2 TDs despite holding the ball for nearly 36 minutes. Steelers are equipped to win a low-scoring game. Browns have back-to-back wins in the AFC North just once under Kevin Stefaski. They tend not to handle even the slightest bit of success well.

ANALYSIS: If you believe the Ravens are going to be without either left tackle Ronnie Stanley or center Tyler Linderbaum – both got MRIs after leaving the game Sunday – and you think the loss of top back JK Dobbins for the season is significant (it is), you might want to get on this now. The Under has hit in 12 of the Ravens' last 15 games and six of the last seven. If you think the Bengals OL problems are real and you watched Ravens DC Mike Macdonald switch that team from man-blitz to heavy coverage and hold Cincy in check last year, and you know that Bengals DC Lou Anarumo allowed 20 points per game last year, you might want to play this now.