Models project 147. Alabama A&M is outmatched in every area, so this pick subscribes to the theory that massive favorites will jump out to a lead, then let off the gas late in the game. There's a betting system to back this up: In non-conference games with a big spread (6+ possessions, aka 16+ points) and high total (145+ points), the under hits 54.7% of the time for a 5.3% ROI. Auburn's defense is holding opponents to 18.7 seconds/possession, so that helps slow the pace.