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Spurs vs. Suns line, picks: Advanced computer NBA model releases selections for Monday matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Monday's matchup between the San Antonio Spurs and the Phoenix Suns
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The Phoenix Suns host the San Antonio Spurs in a Western Conference showdown at 9 p.m. ET on Monday. Phoenix is favored by 7.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 218.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before making any Spurs vs. Suns picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 7 of the 2021-22 NBA season up over $1,500 on all top-rated NBA picks this season. It's also on a stunning 117-77 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread that dates back to last season. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows the Spurs are elite in several areas. San Antonio is No. 2 in the NBA in assists (27.5 per game) and firmly in the top five in turnovers (13.0 per game), fast break points (15.0 per game), second-chance points (14.7 per game), points in the paint (54.2 per game) and field goal percentage (46.8 percent). On the defensive end, San Antonio is limiting opponents to only 17.6 free throw attempts per game, and the Spurs create havoc by forcing 15.2 turnovers per contest. Phoenix struggles on the offensive glass, and the the Spurs are also good in transition, holding opponents to 10.5 fast break points per game.

The model also knows the Suns rank in the top ten on both offense and defense. Phoenix leads the NBA in field goal percentage on offense, making 48 percent of shot attempts. The Suns are also in the top five in assists, averaging 26.1 per game, and Phoenix takes care of the ball at a high level. On defense, Phoenix is holding the opposition to just 1.04 points per possession, with the No. 2 mark in the NBA in two-point shooting allowed at 49.4 percent. The Suns are also in the top five in steals, averaging 9.0 per game, and Phoenix is opportunistic on defense.

Now, it has set its sights on Spurs vs. Suns. We can tell you the model is leaning under the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Spurs vs. Suns? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Spurs vs. Suns spread you should be all over Monday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!

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SportsLine Staff