State Farm Arena hosts an MLK showdown between the Atlanta Hawks and the Miami Heat at 3:30 p.m. ET on Monday. Miami is favored by 1 point at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 223 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). Before making any Heat vs. Hawks picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 13 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 43-19 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,100. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows the Heat are outstanding on defense. Miami is No. 2 in the NBA in defensive efficiency over the last 17 games, and the Heat are in the top eight of the league for the full season. The Heat are in the top three in free throw prevention, turnover creation, and points allowed in the paint. The model also knows the Hawks have a star in Trae Young, who is averaging 27.5 points and 9.8 assists per game this season. Atlanta is elite in taking care of the ball, committing a turnover on only 12.4% of possessions, and the Hawks are in the top five in free throw accuracy at 82.0%.

Now, it has set its sights on Heat vs. Hawks. We can tell you the model is leaning Under the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in over 60% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Heat vs. Hawks? And which side of the spread hits in over 60% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Heat vs. Hawks spread you should be all over Monday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!