A spot in the Divisional Round of the 2023 NFL Playoffs will be on the line when the Los Angeles Chargers and Jacksonville Jaguars collide in a Super Wild Card Weekend playoff game on Saturday at TIAA Bank Field. The Jaguars (9-8) won their last five games to capture the AFC South and earn the No. 4 seed in the AFC playoff bracket. The Chargers (10-7) won four of their final five games to earn the top Wild Card spot in the AFC. 

Kickoff is 8:15 p.m. ET. Los Angeles is a 1.5-point favorite in the latest Chargers vs. Jaguars odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 47. Before you make any Jaguars vs. Chargers picks or NFL playoff predictions, see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Super Wild Card Weekend in the 2023 NFL playoffs on an incredible 161-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 15-6 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of this season.

The model ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

The model knows that Los Angeles has one of the best quarterbacks in the league in Justin Herbert. The sixth overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft, Herbert ranks second in passing yards (4,739) and eighth in passing touchdowns (25). He has completed at least 74% of his passes in five of his last eight games.

The model also has factored in that quarterback Trevor Lawrence is playing the best football of his young career. The No. 1 overall pick in the 2021 draft, Lawrence has thrown 15 touchdown passes versus just two interceptions since Week 9. Jacksonville is 7-2 over that time.

Now, the model has set its sights on Super Wild Card Weekend and Chargers vs. Jaguars. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread cashes in almost 60% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NFL picks.

So who wins Chargers vs. Jaguars on Saturday? And which side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time? Join SportsLine now to see which side of the Jaguars vs. Chargers spread to back, all from the model that's on an amazing 161-113 run on top-rated NFL picks!