A Big 12 Tournament quarterfinal battle is on tap between the No. 4 seed Baylor Bears and the No. 5 seed Iowa State Cyclones at 12:30 p.m. ET on Thursday at the T-Mobile Center. Iowa State won both regular-season meetings between these teams, including a 73-58 win last Saturday. The Bears are favored by 4.5 points in the latest Baylor vs. Iowa State odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 134. 

Before you make any Iowa State vs. Baylor picks and predictions, you'll want to see what the SportsLine Projection Model is saying.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters conference tournament week at 76-51 on all-top rated college basketball picks this season, returning nearly $1,200 for $100 players. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, it has simulated Baylor vs. Iowa State 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You absolutely need to see it before locking in your own picks.

So who wins Baylor vs. Iowa State? And which side of the spread is a must-back? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college basketball picks... If you're already a member, see the picks below!