The SportsLine Projection Model simulates the entire NFL season 10,000 times. That's helped it become an authority on the survivor pool format, which calls for picking one team to win each week, but never picking the same team twice. 

It's not how much you win by in a survivor pool. It's simply about picking a winner and moving on, and sometimes saving a bigger favorite for a future week.

The SportsLine Projection Model has ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch for three years running on straight-up NFL picks. Additionally, it beat over 96 percent of CBS Sports office pool players last season.

Now, the model has locked in on Week 16, understanding most survivor players already have used powerhouse teams like the Ravens, 49ers and Seahawks. We can tell you the model is not going with the Falcons, even though they're coming off a win over San Francisco and laying a touchdown to visiting Jacksonville.

There's another team winning just as often that the model loves for your NFL knockout pools this week. Picking this team also sets you up for the rest of the season! You ABSOLUTELY need to see who it is before locking in any survivor picks.

So which team is a MUST-BACK in your Week 16 survivor pool? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the optimal Survivor Pool pick for Week 16, all from the computer model that's ranked in the Top 10 on straight-up picks three years running!