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    2024 NFL playoff power ratings: How to value all eight playoff teams for ATS picks during the divisional round

    Get the edge over the sportsbooks in the divisional round and beyond by developing a power rating system to stay ahead of the lines
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    The wild card round of the NFL playoffs gave us just one road team winning but three outright upsets against the spread, thanks to the market overrating the Browns and Eagles (or underrating the Texans and Buccaneers, respectively). The question is now whether any of the remaining teams are still being overrated by the market, and I have my suspicions about one, which I'll get into below.

    The biggest question is how much you should adjust the overperformers' spread power ratings heading into the divisional round. Did the Bucs' blowout win reflect them reaching a new level, or the tatters of a broken Eagles team whose season felt like it ended weeks ago? Are the Packers capable of scoring 48 on anyone if they can do it against a Cowboys defense that's typically great at home? Was the Texans' offensive mastery a product of the Browns' well-documented road struggles or something they can replicate in a tougher environment in Baltimore next week?

    I've adjusted all three teams upward in my power ratings, but the question is how much for each. I only adjusted one of the other three wild-card weekend winners upward as well, and you can see all those ratings below as well as how those ratings project each divisional round matchup.

    If you need a refresher on how to build spread power ratings, why they're important for beating the market and how successful I've been with this system at SportsLine, check out the Week 1 version of these power ratings

    Which lines are several points off their power rating projections for the divisional round? And which teams are being undervalued by the market? ... Join SportsLine right now to see playoff power ratings from the expert who's 535-450-30 on ATS picks from 2017-22, returning $3,532 to $100 players!

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    R.J. WhiteSuper Stat Geek

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