World No. 1 Jon Rahm will look to stay hot when he and a world class field tee off in the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational on Thursday at Bay Hill in Orlando. Rahm, who has won three of his last five starts, is the +2000 co-favorite, with Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler, to lead after the first round in the latest Arnold Palmer Invitational odds from Caesars Sportsbook. They are followed by Will Zalatoris (+3000) and six players at +3500.

Before you consider your Arnold Palmer Invitational picks and who will lead the tournament after the first round, you NEED to see what Sia Nejad has to say. 

Nejad is a golf and NFL betting and DFS expert who has had incredible success in the first-round leader market. While those markets tend to be highly volatile, Nejad managed to hit six first-round leaders in a 12-week span last year. He utilizes the inherent volatility in the market to identify value with golfers more likely to spike in one round versus a full tournament. He maintains that proper bankroll management is centered upon head-to-head matchups and the top 20 and top 40 markets but has been exceptional in spiking bankrolls via first-round leader cashes.

In 2022, his first-round leader hits included Danny Lee (150-1 at the American Express), Kevin Na (40-1, Sony), Tom Hoge (80-1, Players), KH Lee (85-1, Phoenix), Jhonattan Vegas and Adam Hadwin (70-1 and 100-1, Valspar). He also hit a handful of outrights and live outrights, including Cameron Smith (28-1, Tournament of Champions) and Sam Burns (80-1 after Round 1, Charles Schwab Challenge).

Two weeks ago Nejad correctly hit Max Homa (+1750) to lead after the first round of the Genesis Invitational, and last week he nailed Joseph Bramlett (+2000) to lead after the first round of the Honda Classic.

Now Nejad has identified his first-round leader picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational.

One shocker: Nejad is high on the chances of Jason Day (+4000) to lead after the first round. "Day has fully turned his game around and has shown us a few spike rounds since the fall swing," Nejad says.

However, Nejad also likes an enormous longshot who "is a better player now than he's ever been." You ABSOLUTELY need to see who it is before entering any Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks!

What players offer the best value to lead after the first round of the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational? And what massive longshot who is a better player now than he has ever been is a must-back? ... Join SportsLine now to see Sia Nejad's top predictions and analysis for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, all from the golf expert who has hit the last two weeks!