The Duke Blue Devils face the Arkansas Razorbacks in an Elite Eight matchup of the 2022 NCAA Tournament at 8:49 p.m. ET on Saturday. Duke is favored by four points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 147.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college basketball odds page). 

Before making any Arkansas vs. Duke picks, you NEED to check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of over $1,300 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows Arkansas is elite on defense. The Razorbacks flummoxed the Gonzaga Bulldogs on Thursday, creating havoc and holding the No. 1 overall seed well below its baseline. Arkansas is No. 11 in the country in defensive efficiency, and opponents are shooting 46.4 percent from 2-point range and 32.4 percent from 3-point range this season. Arkansas forces a turnover on more than 20 percent of defensive possessions, and the Razorbacks are securing nearly 75 percent of available defensive rebounds.

The model also knows Duke's offense is elite. The Blue Devils are led by multiple potential NBA lottery picks, and Duke is No. 2 in the country in offensive efficiency. Duke is in the top eight of the nation in shooting efficiency, including a blistering 56.2 percent mark on two-point attempts. The Blue Devils are also shooting 37 percent from 3-point range, and Duke is in the top 25 in turnover rate, giving the ball away on only 15.1 percent of possessions. Duke also boasts a 31.7 percent offensive rebound rate, and the Blue Devils are in the top 50 of the country in assist percentage.

Now, it has set its sights on Arkansas vs. Duke. We can tell you the model is leaning over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college basketball picks.

Who wins Arkansas vs. Duke? And which side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Arkansas vs. Duke spread you should be all over Saturday, all from the model on a roll on college basketball picks!