Brady Singer has posted a strong 2.62 ERA massively aided by an unsustainable .209 BABIP, and this could be the matchup where he experiences some regression. The Rangers have an excellent 110 OPS+ against righties and Nathaniel Lowe has provided a boost since missing the first 21 games on the IL. The Royals also have a well-rested bullpen after Thursday's off-day was preceded by two games where relievers only covered two innings in each. Singer has struggled with walks of late (three issued in each of last three) and has only thrown five innings in three of his last four. I think that's a more reasonable expectation than the Over juice indicates.

So when I write the daily newsletter for subscribers (sign up!), I include the trends at books in terms of whom is betting what. Get all those in a feed. Is RSS still a thing? Bobby Witt Under 1.5 hits is the No. 1 most-wagered hits market prop at DK. I don't often tail but I do like to see what people are doing in case I missed something. Witt a very good player who has multiple hits in back-to-back games but not George Brett. And he's 0-for-5 off Texas starter Michael Lorenzen. This is just math. If Witt doesn't get a hit in the first inning ... well it's Breaking 2: Electric Boogaloo time.