loading...
League Logo
NBA
League Logo
NBA
League Logo
MLB
League Logo
NHL
League Logo
NFL
All
    loading...
    Avatar
    Avatar

    Matt Severance

    Severance Pays

    Matt Severance is a well-connected writer and high-volume handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. After joining SportsLine, Matt quickly established himself as a top expert in multiple sports. Over the past three MLB seasons, Matt is up $2,395 for $100 bettors. Over the past two NBA seasons, Matt has returned $3,215. And over the past four college basketball seasons, Matt is up $887. He went 103-89-2 (plus $665) in the 2023 college football season and 121-93-2 (plus $589) in the 2023 NFL season. Matt believes in buying points in football to get off a push number like 3 or 7. He understands that oddsmakers don't do as much homework on lower-tier FBS games, creating betting opportunities. And he says homefield advantage is underrated in some markets and overrated in others. For Matt Severance media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

    @jordanpaytonsn1
    LAST 257 NBA PICKS
    +2544.25
    RECORD: 160-97-0
    # 3 NBA EXPERT
    +2544.25
    160-97 IN LAST 257 NBA PICKS

    Get Access To
    ALL PICKS FROM Matt & THE REST OF OUR EXPERTS

    Get Today's Winners Here
    All

    Matt's Picks (2 Live)

    May 05 2024, 11:30 pm UTC
    League
    Vegas
    @ Dallas
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit1.0
    +11
    30-19 in Last 49 NHL Picks
    +473
    17-7 in Last 24 LV ML Picks
    Analysis:

    The Stars host the Knights in Game 7. ...

    Pick Made: 7:57 pm UTC
    May 06 2024, 11:40 pm UTC
    League
    Milwaukee
    @ Kansas City
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit0.5
    +1612.75
    125-68-1 in Last 194 MLB Picks
    +582.25
    15-4-1 in Last 20 MLB O/U Picks
    Analysis:

    The Brewers face Royals ace Cole Ragans on Monday. ...

    Pick Made: 9:24 pm UTC

    Matt's Past Picks

    May 05 2024, 6:15 pm UTC
    League
    Chi. White Sox
    5
    @ St. Louis
    1
    +581.75
    25-6 in Last 31 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    Marty is on fire, up to .113 on the season! He actually has back-to-back games with hits. Hang on, I'm going to go look at this pig flying over my neighborhood.

    Pick Made: 3:44 pm UTC
    May 05 2024, 6:15 pm UTC
    League
    Chi. White Sox
    5
    @ St. Louis
    1
    +1612.75
    125-68-1 in Last 194 MLB Picks
    +604.25
    49-30 in Last 79 MLB ML Picks
    +770.5
    57-32 in Last 89 CHW ML Picks
    Analysis:

    My bad for not checking who the home plate umpire was Saturday in this matchup. Perhaps if I had known it was CB Bucknor I would have reconsidered. What a joke. The Sox used essentially every reliever they have so might be thin behind Garrett Crochet. Dylan Carlson has been activated off the IL for the Cards to make his season debut. They have been getting almost no offensive production from their outfielders so Carlson can only help.

    Pick Made: 3:48 pm UTC
    May 05 2024, 6:10 pm UTC
    League
    Seattle
    5
    @ Houston
    4
    +581.75
    25-6 in Last 31 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    Managers want to let their starting pitchers go at least five full to qualify for a win. Brown hasn't been very good this season and only gone at least five twice but I have faith. The first inning will tell us a lot as to whether he has any control.

    Pick Made: 3:02 pm UTC
    May 05 2024, 5:40 pm UTC
    League
    L.A. Angels
    1
    @ Cleveland
    4
    +1612.75
    125-68-1 in Last 194 MLB Picks
    +604.25
    49-30 in Last 79 MLB ML Picks
    +1432.5
    41-17 in Last 58 CLE ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Can't say I think much of Guardians pitcher Carlos Carrasco but that Angels lineup looks really weak today with the likes of Luis Rengifo and Logan O'Hoppe out -- plus of course Mike Trout is on the IL. Pitcher Griffin Canning is 0-3 with an 8.16 ERA on the road.

    Pick Made: 4:51 pm UTC
    May 05 2024, 5:00 pm UTC
    League
    Orlando
    94
    @ Cleveland
    106
    +2544.25
    160-97 in Last 257 NBA Picks
    +2495
    104-49 in Last 153 NBA ML Picks
    +2334
    43-10 in Last 53 CLE ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Look, I don't want to be one of those grumpy old men (ain't that old) but if Jarrett Allen can't play in a winner-take-all, whatever man. Hockey player it up. Course, I also remember Scottie Pippen being ... I'll bite my tongue. He deserved Larsa let's just say that. Love to give more high-def information but this is simply a home play.

    Pick Made: May 04, 4:45 am UTC
    May 04 2024, 8:07 pm UTC
    League
    Miami
    4
    @ Oakland
    20
    +581.75
    25-6 in Last 31 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    The Marlins' lineup got so much weaker with the Luis Arraez trade. It's like the new Rebel Wilson. Thin. Blackburn has come way back to earth after a crazy start but I think 6 IP, 2 ER sounds about right. I will always do runs instead of innings (17.5) if moderately close simply as an injury and I win.

    Pick Made: May 04, 6:34 am UTC
    May 04 2024, 8:07 pm UTC
    League
    Miami
    4
    @ Oakland
    20
    +1612.75
    125-68-1 in Last 194 MLB Picks
    +604.25
    49-30 in Last 79 MLB ML Picks
    +661
    9-1 in Last 10 OAK ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Things I didn't think I would do this MLB season: Breakdance (tried the Andy from the Office, also didn't go well and also involved keys), realize that Jose Canseco's daughter is dating Johnny Manziel or back the A's. But the Marlins just said goodbye in 2024 by trading two-time batting champion Luis Arraez to San Diego. If the Fish were playing anyone else Saturday (non-White Sox), I'd make a dangerously large bet.

    Pick Made: May 04, 2:48 am UTC
    May 04 2024, 8:05 pm UTC
    League
    Toronto
    6
    @ Washington
    3
    +581.75
    25-6 in Last 31 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    Wow this is low. KG has not been quite the strikeout guy he has in previous years but 4.5? He is more than capable of getting that by the third inning.

    Pick Made: May 04, 6:25 am UTC
    May 04 2024, 8:05 pm UTC
    League
    Toronto
    6
    @ Washington
    3
    +1612.75
    125-68-1 in Last 194 MLB Picks
    +582.25
    15-4-1 in Last 20 MLB O/U Picks
    Analysis:

    It goes without saying you should shop around for the best number. I was kinda stuck for a while with whatever SL offered and now we have five books to choose from. So here this is 8.5 at only one of ours with the rest having 8. It's Saturday so I'm not going to be on here monitoring weather as somehow I was roped into a square dance (kill me), but it appears that winds will be blowing in in D.C. I just don't think the Nats get more than 2ish runs off Kevin Gausman regardless. Are the Jays scoring 6? Highly doubtful. Obviously the bullpen(s) could wreck things but will take our chances.

    Pick Made: May 04, 5:06 am UTC
    May 04 2024, 6:15 pm UTC
    League
    Chi. White Sox
    6
    @ St. Louis
    5
    +1612.75
    125-68-1 in Last 194 MLB Picks
    +604.25
    49-30 in Last 79 MLB ML Picks
    +770.5
    57-32 in Last 89 CHW ML Picks
    Analysis:

    I don't like Lance Lynn. As think my fellow White Sox fans can attest, he'd be good for a few innings and then the next time through the lineup allow a pair of three-run bombs. No one bothered to awaken Tony La Russa to pull him. Yeah I'm not bitter. My point here is that while Lynn is rarely trustworthy, when he's facing a Pale Hose lineup in which the bottom four is Rex Grossman (I know it's Robbie but may as well be Rex), Korey Lee, Paul DeJong and Braden Shewmake. I mean, come on. I could slip and fall at Publix later and be owed millions and would not even call the free law firm of Grossman, Lee, DeJong and Shewmake.

    Pick Made: May 04, 5:00 pm UTC
    May 04 2024, 1:40 am UTC
    League
    San Diego
    7
    @ Arizona
    1
    +1612.75
    125-68-1 in Last 194 MLB Picks
    +582.25
    15-4-1 in Last 20 MLB O/U Picks
    +461
    10-5 in Last 15 ARI O/U Picks
    Analysis:

    All of our books but Caesars have this at 8.5 so we get some value here. Certainly could push by Dylan Cease has been very good for San Diego and is 2-0 with a 1.89 ERA on the road. Slade Cecconi is only in the Arizona lineup due to Merrill Kelly's injury, but Cecconi has a 2.25 ERA in two starts and tremendous control dating to his minor-league days. The Under is 6-1 in Arizona's past seven. We might push but don't think we lose.

    Pick Made: May 03, 12:07 pm UTC
    May 04 2024, 12:10 am UTC
    League
    Seattle
    3
    @ Houston
    5
    +1612.75
    125-68-1 in Last 194 MLB Picks
    +582.25
    15-4-1 in Last 20 MLB O/U Picks
    +468
    7-2-2 in Last 11 HOU O/U Picks
    Analysis:

    Many books have dropped this to eight. Seattle's George Kirby was my preseason AL value pick for the Cy Young. I felt stupid for that initially as Kirby was lousy but he hasn't allowed a run in back-to-back starts with just seven hits allowed and 19Ks over 12 innings. Dude is nasty. Houston's Ronel Blanco has been one of the early surprises on MLB at 3-0 with a 1.65 ERA. He's coming back to earth some in allowing 2 ER in three straight but I'll take that tonight.

    Pick Made: May 03, 12:02 pm UTC
    May 03 2024, 11:40 pm UTC
    League
    Texas
    1
    @ Kansas City
    7
    +581.75
    25-6 in Last 31 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    So when I write the daily newsletter for subscribers (sign up!), I include the trends at books in terms of whom is betting what. Get all those in a feed. Is RSS still a thing? Bobby Witt Under 1.5 hits is the No. 1 most-wagered hits market prop at DK. I don't often tail but I do like to see what people are doing in case I missed something. Witt a very good player who has multiple hits in back-to-back games but not George Brett. And he's 0-for-5 off Texas starter Michael Lorenzen. This is just math. If Witt doesn't get a hit in the first inning ... well it's Breaking 2: Electric Boogaloo time.

    Pick Made: May 03, 4:03 pm UTC