Simulation Picks
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Expert Picks
Really happy with the second-half improvement by the Bears and this will be one of the most interesting offseasons in franchise history. Think I am in the trade Justin Fields camp unless they get an absurd package for the No. 1 overall pick, which they might. Not sure Fields is ready to win on the road against a team that faces a must win for a playoff game. That Chicago defense has been excellent of late but a huge piece of that, top cornerback Jaylon Johnson, is out. He's having an All-Pro-caliber season ahead of free agency. No Christian Watson again for the Pack but in pretty good shape overall.
The Bears have been one of the hottest teams in the NFL over the past six weeks. But the Packers have won five of seven to get in position for a playoff berth and have won six straight against Chicago in win-or-go-home circumstances. Look for Green Bay to extend this streak.
D.J. Moore got snubbed from the Pro Bowl, which gives him a little extra motivation here. He routinely goes over this prop total with Justin Fields starting. Darnell Mooney is out, while Cole Kmet is questionable after playing sparingly last week through a knee injury. Moore's target share should be massive.
We witnessed an impressive performance from the Packers at Minnesota last week, but we can't forget that this is the same team that allowed Carolina to put up 30 and lost decisively to the Bucs the week prior. Granted, the Packers have plenty of good recent wins on their resume (Lions and Chiefs) but I don't think their defense is good enough to justify the key number of 3 here. The Packers need to win, but the Bears have plenty of motivation and their defense continues to be great.
Sticking with the Jordan Love train this week, he's looking for his 8th multi-TD passing game in his last nine. With a win this week and a playoff berth, I would think that Love will get the long term contract from the organization that he desires. In what should be another game with plenty of points, I'll lay the significant juice for what seems like a pretty good bet.
Love has improved significantly as the season has progressed, putting Green Bay in a position to make the playoffs with a win at home on Sunday. A good explanation of his success is the fact that he's not throwing interceptions wildly as he had done earlier in the season. Over the last seven Green Bay games, Love has only thrown one interception. Against Chicago in Week 1, he lit up the Bears defense and didn't turn the ball over either. Another mistake-free game hopefully is in the cards for the improving signal caller.
Justin Fields ran nine times for 59 yards in the first matchup with Green Bay. With several Bears' skill players banged up, I expect Fields to clear this prop total Sunday despite the Packers playing at home in a must-win situation. Green Bay has allowed the third-most rushing yards to opposing QBs.
This could be Fields swansong and he could run wild against this defense. He ran 9 times for 59 yards in the first game vs GB. He's over this in every divisional game except for one. He's over this in four of the last six games, overall.
Fields has been a finisher for the Bears since coming back from injury. This has hit in three of four, at the same time the passing game went dry from a scoring capacity. He's run at least 8 times in every divisional game and he's struggled passing the ball on the Pack in his career. Could be his last game as a Bear. I think he puts on a show with his legs as rival execs watch him pondering a trade.
This was my best play last week. My Tik Tok play of the week. Over 20.5. I’ll go back this week. Chicago’s median post bye week is 27. Green Bay is beat up on D and JFields is MOTIVATED.
Another game that has significant playoff implications. The Bears can keep the Packers out of the postseason with a win. Both teams are coming off of 30-point games, and with the playoffs on the line I expect that to be the same once again in the season finale.
The Bears are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games, the ATS loss coming by a half point in a 20-17 defeat at Cleveland. Their defense continues to shine and has allowed 15.2 points per game over the last five. All the pressure is on the Packers, who are at home and eyeing a playoff berth. Green Bay has given up the fifth-most rushing yards per game; that sets up well for Justin Fields and Khalil Herbert. Take the points.