I have the Cavs -0.5 in the first half and I like them to cover -1.5 for the full game. My simulations indicate the line was efficient at -2, but I saw some things I like from the Cavs against Boston that I believe will translate to success in Milwaukee.
3-0-0 in last 3 NBA picks | +300
My simulations have this game projected for 109 points in the first half, creating a nice value spot on he Under 116 points. Take the first half Under.
This is a great matchup with two of the best players in the game and I like LeBron to win the battle in the first half. Giannis has a tendency to pick up two quick fouls in these kind of matchups with imposing stars like LeBron on the floor. I'm expecting huge games from LeBron and Kevin Love. Take the Cavs in the first half.
Fourth and final play of the day for me. The Cavs have won six of the past seven meetings, and LeBron is rested. Lay the small number.
3-1-0 in last 4 NBA ATS picks | +195
Coach Brad Stevens will find a way to limit Joel Embiid, and I don't think Robert Covington is going to shoot 7 of 11 from 3-point range like he did in Philly's opener. Boston gets its first win.
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