I'm the sucker getting in late here and missing multiple points of value, but I still feel the Eagles are that much better than a Cowboys team without their starting running back, left tackle and middle linebacker. And while Dallas is at home -- Philly has not covered six on the road since Sept. 17 -- the Eagles are the better overall team and should be able to cover a touchdown in any situation. Let's also not forget that Philly has a terrifying defensive front, which could eat all day.
11-5-2 in last 18 NFL ATS picks | +572
They could play this game on the moon, and I'm still taking the Patriots to keep the Raiders' defense on their heels for four quarters and cover a touchdown spread. There's no doubt that the oddsmakers are giving Oakland a little extra juice for the absolutely fire Mexico City crowd that will be cheering it on Sunday, but that doesn't suddenly make the players better. New England just dominated Denver at high altitude and has been practicing in it all week to get ready for this game. Wins over Miami and a porous Kansas City defense do not make me suddenly believe in this version of the silver and black attack.
The Pacers are coming off a scintillating comeback win over Detroit, and I think it carries over here. This one should go down to the wire. Take the points.
31-22-2 in last 55 NBA ATS picks | +752
I'm projecting 212 points for Pacers-Heat, giving us a solid lean to the Over. The Over is cashing in 63 percent of my simulations.
17-10-0 in last 27 NBA picks | +632
The Raptors are averaging 120.3 points during their three-game win streak. In my simulations, they're covering against the Wizards 61 percent of the time. Lay the points.
In partnership with...