My simulations say the Braves should beat the Rockies at least 55 percent of the time Thursday, making underdog Atlanta a major value side with the plus-money back. Colorado has won just one of the last five starts by Jeff Hoffman. Lucas Sims of Atlanta has lost three straight decisions, but has allowed four or fewer runs in each outing.
63-47-1 in last 111 MLB picks | +1420
This is a reasonable price on the Blue Jays against Jacob Faria, who's stumbled badly over his last three starts. Toronto is coming off a loss and the Blue Jays are 6-0 in that spot lately. Marcus Stroman was really unlucky last time out, allowing four unearned runs. He's allowed two earned runs over his last two starts covering 14 2/3 innings. Back Toronto.
99-72-0 in last 171 MLB ML picks | +1559
Anibal Sanchez had a nice June but it's been downhill since. He has a 7.84 ERA since the All-Star break. Cole Hamels ERA in July was 3.66 but his xFIP for the season is 4.56. He's been lucky on batted balls in play. Go Over.
4-0-0 in last 4 MLB OU picks | +400
The Red Sox are on an 11-2 run and they are doing it with uplifting play from their young bats. One pitcher that hasn?t joined in on the wins yet is Eduardo Rodriguez, who is winless since May 26. Look for the Boston lineup to give him all the support he needs Wednesday to get back in the win column.
80-63-0 in last 143 MLB ML picks | +1356
Toronto starter Marcus Stroman who has just one win over his last six starts Rays pitcher Jacob Faria has lost consecutive starts while increasing his strikeouts. Look for the veteran Blue Jays bats to capitalize on Faria?s mistakes. Back the Blue Jays on Wednesday.
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