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    Matt Severance

    Severance Pays

    Matt Severance is a well-connected writer and high-volume handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. After joining SportsLine, Matt quickly established himself as a top expert in multiple sports. Over the past three MLB seasons, Matt is up $2,395 for $100 bettors. Over the past two NBA seasons, Matt has returned $3,215. And over the past four college basketball seasons, Matt is up $887. He went 103-89-2 (plus $665) in the 2023 college football season and 121-93-2 (plus $589) in the 2023 NFL season. Matt believes in buying points in football to get off a push number like 3 or 7. He understands that oddsmakers don't do as much homework on lower-tier FBS games, creating betting opportunities. And he says homefield advantage is underrated in some markets and overrated in others. For Matt Severance media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

    @jordanpaytonsn1
    LAST 248 NBA PICKS
    +2413.75
    RECORD: 155-93-0
    # 3 NBA EXPERT
    +2413.75
    155-93 IN LAST 248 NBA PICKS

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    Matt's Pick (1 Live)

    Apr 28 2024, 5:00 pm UTC
    League
    New York
    @ Philadelphia
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit1.0
    +2413.75
    155-93 in Last 248 NBA Picks
    +2351
    100-46 in Last 146 NBA ML Picks
    +2032.5
    43-13 in Last 56 PHI ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Will the Sixers tie the series vs. the Knicks? ...

    Pick Made: Fri 3:52 pm UTC

    Matt's Past Picks

    Apr 27 2024, 2:00 am UTC
    League
    Winnipeg
    2
    @ Colorado
    6
    +1390
    41-20 in Last 61 NHL ATS Picks
    +132.5
    4-3 in Last 7 WPG ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    Nothing has changed here. The Avs still have a goaltending problem, although they sure seem to have Connor Hellebuyck's number. Still, we are getting +1.5 at about the same price as Avalanche ML. So in OT while you ML bettors are sweating a cash, I'll be sweating in the hot tub and trying to go back to the 80s. Could really use some El DeBarge.

    Pick Made: Fri 7:15 pm UTC
    Apr 27 2024, 12:00 am UTC
    League
    L.A. Clippers
    90
    @ Dallas
    101
    +2413.75
    155-93 in Last 248 NBA Picks
    +267.5
    9-7 in Last 16 DAL ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    Kawhi Leonard figures to be a bit more in rhythm with a game under his belt as well as a few practices, while the Mavs will be without Tim Hardaway Jr. and are listing starting big Daniel Gafford as questionable Friday. Since about March 20, the Clippers have been much better on the road than at home. Overall this season, LA was first in the NBA on the road in three-point shooting (39.8%) and in free-throw shooting (82.8%).

    Pick Made: Thu 7:47 pm UTC
    Apr 26 2024, 11:30 pm UTC
    League
    Vancouver
    2
    @ Nashville
    1
    +349.5
    26-14 in Last 40 NHL Picks
    +154
    43-28 in Last 71 NSH ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Think the Canucks are toast in this series with No. 1 goaltender Thatcher Demko ruled out for Friday after also missing Game 2 with an injury -- and it sounds like he will not return this series after winning the opener. Casey DeSmith is a solid No. 2 but a massive downgrade as we saw in Game 2 when he allowed a goal on Nashville's first shot as the Preds won 4-1 in Vancouver. DeSmith also struggled some at the end of the regular season. Really tough break for the Pacific Division champs.

    Pick Made: Thu 6:49 pm UTC
    Apr 26 2024, 11:05 pm UTC
    League
    Oakland
    3
    @ Baltimore
    2
    +1168.75
    101-57-1 in Last 159 MLB Picks
    Analysis:

    The A's are a scrappy bunch, we will give them that. Cost us on this play last night at Yankee Stadium but man tough spot here with Ross Stripling (0-5, 5.34) opposed by Corbin Burnes (3-0, 2.76). The O's also were off on Thursday.

    Pick Made: Fri 1:01 pm UTC
    Apr 26 2024, 5:10 pm UTC
    League
    Kansas City
    8
    @ Detroit
    0
    +1168.75
    101-57-1 in Last 159 MLB Picks
    +396.25
    10-2-1 in Last 13 MLB O/U Picks
    Analysis:

    Won't be playing look-ahead totals very often but the winds are expected to be blowing in at Comerica Park for the Friday matinee and KC starter Seth Lugo has a 2.03 ERA. The Tigers are hitting just .214 at home. Their pitcher, Reese Olson, has made just one home start this year and it was quality. I think this will close at 8 across the board so wanted the hook now.

    Pick Made: Thu 9:01 pm UTC
    Apr 25 2024, 11:30 pm UTC
    League
    Carolina
    3
    @ N.Y. Islanders
    2
    +1390
    41-20 in Last 61 NHL ATS Picks
    +25
    2-1 in Last 3 NYI ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    If the Islanders are going to get one, it figures to be this one. The Canes lost one of their top defenseman, Brett Pesce, to an injury in the Game 2 comeback win. Winger Jesper Fast missed the first two and not expected back. The Isles are giving Ilya Sorokin his first shot in net of the series. He didn't have a typically great year but historically has been money at home. The Islanders are in an identical situation to last year, trailing 2-0 in the series to the Hurricanes, and they responded with a 5-1 win in Game 3 on home ice. The Isles also ended the regular season with five straight road wins. And we don't even need that.

    Pick Made: Thu 12:17 pm UTC
    Apr 25 2024, 11:30 pm UTC
    League
    Carolina
    3
    @ N.Y. Islanders
    2
    +642.5
    9-3 in Last 12 NHL O/U Picks
    +854
    16-8-1 in Last 25 NYI O/U Picks
    Analysis:

    We generally do not get odds feeds of alternate totals, etc. on any sport, but we are getting one from Bet365 on this total -- hence the crazy juice (on 5.5 goals, the Under is -115). I'll be surprised if this goes Over 6.5 barring a 3-3 regulation tie, so I'm going to take the rare opportunity.

    Pick Made: Thu 9:08 pm UTC
    Apr 25 2024, 11:30 pm UTC
    League
    New York
    114
    @ Philadelphia
    125
    +2413.75
    155-93 in Last 248 NBA Picks
    +2351
    100-46 in Last 146 NBA ML Picks
    +2032.5
    43-13 in Last 56 PHI ML Picks
    Analysis:

    The Knicks are up 2-0 despite Jalen Brunson shooting under 30 percent from the field thus far. Don't believe they win on the road if that continues. Obviously a desperation spot for the Sixers, who will get a bit deeper with the expected series debut of guard De'Anthony Melton after he practiced Wednesday. He will be listed questionable just like Joel Embiid surely will.

    Pick Made: Wed 4:29 pm UTC
    Apr 25 2024, 11:05 pm UTC
    League
    Oakland
    3
    @ N.Y. Yankees
    1
    +1168.75
    101-57-1 in Last 159 MLB Picks
    +311.5
    27-19 in Last 46 NYY ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    If I had any Pirates gear, I would be in mid-burn after their bullpen blew a sure runline cover this afternoon. Can't end the day like that. Oakland's Alex Wood has been one of the worst pitchers in the American League at 0-2 with a 7.89 ERA and 2.03 WHIP. Aaron Judge has not faced him, but it sure feels like a guy Judge would take deep (if Judge is healthy that is). New York's Nestor Cortes has not allowed an earned run in two home starts spanning 15 innings.

    Pick Made: Thu 8:27 pm UTC
    Apr 25 2024, 11:00 pm UTC
    League
    Florida
    5
    @ Tampa Bay
    3
    +642.5
    9-3 in Last 12 NHL O/U Picks
    Analysis:

    We aren't going to get totals of 6.5s often in the playoffs; the first two games of this series both ended 3-2 in favor of Florida. The Panthers also did lose a top-six forward to injury in Game 2 in Sam Bennett (20G, 21A in regular season). He's out at least a week. Personally think the only way this loses Thursday is if we get the dreaded 3-3 regulation tie.

    Pick Made: Wed 4:25 pm UTC
    Apr 25 2024, 11:00 pm UTC
    League
    Cleveland
    83
    @ Orlando
    121
    +2413.75
    155-93 in Last 248 NBA Picks
    +2351
    100-46 in Last 146 NBA ML Picks
    +1934
    40-10 in Last 50 CLE ML Picks
    Analysis:

    The Magic can't possibly score less/shoot worse at home than they did the first two games in Cleveland, and they were a tremendous 29-12 in Orlando during the regular season. Might be a bit easy for the Cavs to be a bit asleep at the wheel with two such easy wins so far -- they haven't even TRAILED. Cleveland did lose four of its final five regular-season away games.

    Pick Made: Thu 7:55 pm UTC
    Apr 25 2024, 5:10 pm UTC
    League
    Philadelphia
    5
    @ Cincinnati
    0
    Analysis:

    Bryce Harper is back from the paternity list and ace Zack Wheeler is on the hill for the Phillies. Anytime I can play the Phils' first five and avoid their still very shaky bullpen is just fine by me. Wheeler took a no-hitter into the eighth inning last time out but that almost doesn't count because it was against the White Sox. He has a 2.98 ERA career vs. the Reds.

    Pick Made: Thu 2:49 pm UTC
    Apr 25 2024, 4:35 pm UTC
    League
    Milwaukee
    7
    @ Pittsburgh
    5
    +1168.75
    101-57-1 in Last 159 MLB Picks
    +418
    24-16 in Last 40 MIL ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    End of a seven-game trip for the Brewers so a natural letdown spot ahead of a return home for one of the series of the season vs. the Yankees. A couple of regulars are getting the day off and Christian Yelich remains out injured. Just found out the Pirates are the only team in the majors this season to not lose a game where they scored at least four runs. Starting pitcher Mitch Keller is is 8-4 with a 3.09 ERA in 16 starts at PNC Park since the beginning of last season. That home ERA since the beginning of last year is the ninth-best in all of MLB among pitchers with at least 100.0 innings.

    Pick Made: Thu 2:44 pm UTC
    Apr 25 2024, 2:00 am UTC
    League
    Los Angeles
    5
    @ Edmonton
    4
    +642.5
    9-3 in Last 12 NHL O/U Picks
    +927.5
    18-7-2 in Last 27 EDM O/U Picks
    Analysis:

    As you can see, FanDuel has juiced the over pretty hard but there were 11 goals scored in Game 1 so this seems like a no-brainer -- although I highly doubt we get double-digit goals again. The Oilers are simply an offensive juggernaut on home ice, while LA netminder Cam Talbot has allowed three or more goals in five of his last six games. Apparently he's likely to start again but with a short leash.

    Pick Made: Wed 3:19 pm UTC