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    Mon, May 1312:00 am UTCTarget Center
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Denver
    Nuggets
    DEN
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L64-30
    ATS44-47
    O/U40-52-1
    FINAL SCORE
    115
    -
    107
    Minnesota
    Timberwolves
    MIN
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L65-33
    ATS49-45
    O/U50-46-1
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    64-30
    Win /Loss
    65-33
    44-47
    Spread
    49-45
    40-52-1
    Over / Under
    50-46-1
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    PF
    Avatar
    SF
    Avatar
    PF
    No Key Player Injuries
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    DEN @ MIN
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    DEN @ MIN
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    OVER / UNDER
    DEN @ MIN
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    42%
    PUBLIC
    58%
    MONEY
    29%
    PUBLIC
    71%
    MONEY
    Over90%
    PUBLIC
    Under10%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    1st Quarter Spread1st Quarter Minnesota -1.5 +100
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +300
    4-1 in Last 5 NBA Game Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    The Nuggets have been an incredibly slow starting team all postseason save for a few nights ago. I don't see them revving it back up like that here. They caught the Wolves a little full of themselves but MIN will crank the defensive intensity back up. They didn't build 30-point leads on Denver by accident. I expect them to feed off the crowd and ride their starters hard and get the Nuggets back on their heels.

    Pick Made: May 12, 10:29 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
    Avatar
    Total PointsAnthony Edwards Over 28.5 Total Points -133
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    Jason's Analysis:

    We saw ANT take over and dominate the first two games of this series. No reason he can't do it again. The Wolves will fight hard not to give up that home-field advantage they won in Denver. I expect Edwards to look to drive and attack the rim with abandon after a more tepid Game 3 and get to the line 10 times. He's too driven and creative to be held down again and it's pretty clear that this team operates at a higher level when he is dropping 35+.

    Pick Made: May 12, 10:26 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
    Money LineMinnesota -156
    LOSS
    Unit0.5
    +2001.25
    170-108 in Last 278 NBA Picks
    +1841
    107-55 in Last 162 NBA ML Picks
    +729
    25-10 in Last 35 DEN ML Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    Can't say I was too surprised the Nuggets showed championship mettle in a must-win Game 3, but Nikola Jokic still is not shooting that great in the series, at least by his super-high standards. Minnesota's defense has been about six points better at home in these playoffs and I don't see the Wolves bricking 23 3-pointers again.

    Pick Made: May 12, 10:17 pm UTC on FanDuel
    Avatar
    Total PointsNikola Jokic Over 27.5 Total Points -127
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    Zack's Analysis:

    In the night cap I’ll tail Nikola Jokic over his points. After winning game three the belief is there for Denver. Game four is going to be an all out battle, and I expect Jokic to be that much more aggressive with his shot selection. This very well could be his best points production game of the postseason. Take his over on points.

    Pick Made: May 12, 8:46 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
    Point SpreadDenver +3 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +3578
    197-147-3 in Last 347 NBA Picks
    +2461
    108-76-2 in Last 186 NBA ATS Picks
    +1135
    18-6 in Last 24 DEN ATS Picks
    Bruce's Analysis:

    Maybe we owe the Nuggets an apology, as their bottoming out in Game 2 last week might have been just that...a low point. Recovering as quality teams do, Denver looked like the champion Denver from last season when destroying the T-wolves on Friday. Getting Michael Porter (21 points) going on Friday night in Game 3 took some of the pressure off of Jamal Murray and The Joker. Meanwhile, the T-wolves showed some vulnerability in games where Anthony Edwards doesn't dominate (only 19 points in Game 3, well beneath what he is capable). No edge yet in this series to playing at home! Play Nuggets

    Pick Made: May 12, 2:40 pm UTC on Bet365NewJersey
    Point SpreadMinnesota -2.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +674
    45-35 in Last 80 NBA ATS Picks
    +72
    4-3 in Last 7 MIN ATS Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    The Wolves needed to get knocked down a beg after 6 straight mostly-emphatic playoff wins, That came but I don't think Denver is deep enough to keep that up, and I expect ANT to dominate at home Sunday afternoon. MIN is the better team and the deeper team and the bigger team. I don't think Jamal Murray is healthy enough to have another game like that and I don't think the Wolves have back-to-back stinkers at home. What they did to the Nuggets in Denver was no fluke. They bounce back here and out the champs on their heels

    Pick Made: May 12, 3:35 am UTC on FanDuel

    Team Injuries

    Denver Nuggets
    Thursday, Oct 31, 2024
    Avatar
    PF
    Aaron Gordon
    KneeQuestionable
    Avatar
    SF
    Vlatko Cancar
    AnkleQuestionable
    Saturday, Jul 13, 2024
    Avatar
    PF
    DaRon Holmes II
    AchillesOut
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    No Player Injuries
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