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The Bucs could be really thin in the pen after back-to-back one-run games over the weekend against the Cubs with the finale going 10 innings. Starter Mitch Keller is 0-4 with a 6.23 ERA in seven career starts vs. the Brewers. Will consider a Rhys Hoskins hitting prop as he's 5-for-8 career off Keller with two doubles and a triple. Not a huge Colin Rea guy for the Brewers but like most everything else here.
Mitch Keller went 9 innings last time out and threw a season-high 109 pitches. But he has been suspect for most of the season and last time he faced the Brew Crew he gave up 6 hits and 4 ER in 5 IP. In fact he's allowed at least 4 ER in half of his 8 starts. He's also allowed a homer in 5 straight starts. MIL held the Pirates to 10 runs in their previous 4-game series. The Brewers are 6-1 when Colin Rea pitches and like Bryse Wilson he keeps outperforming what many expected of him this season. MIL beats up on the lesser teams - 13-4 vs sub .500 clubs like the Pirates.