Fading Aaron Nola on what is a huge line for him. Nola has failed to eclipse this line in 3/4 starts this season and 22/32 starts dating back to last season. If we look at Nola's strikeout metrics, theyre suggesting he's running hot on Ks this season. Nola is averaging a career worst 8.4% SwStr% and 82.4% Contact%. The White Sox are more of a neutral matchup, however Nola this line is simply at least 1 strikeout too high for Nola in his present form.

The White Sox have lost each of the first two games of the series by at least four runs and I see no reason why today would be any different with Aaron Nola on the mound for Philadelphia. Taking this instead of First 5 simply as it's cheaper.

The Phillies ace is back to looking like an ace and getting to shove against a Sunday Pale Hose lineup should bring out the best in him. White Sox are a defeated bunch and plenty of holes for Nola to attack. I thought long and hard about his outs total but if this is 9-0 against after 5 the Phils might just rest his arm. Chicago doing nothing against PHI starters in this series. CHI bats in innings 1-6 this season are by far worst in MLB: 30 runs in 20 G, 107 Ks/30 W, .190/.254/.293 slash line. Just 8 total HRs in 120 innings.

Aaron Nola struck out nine Rockies last time, but had four or less strikeouts in his previous three starts. He cruised into the 8th inning in that start, punching out his final five batters to accrue so many strikeouts. This matchup with Chicago is "middle of the road" for K's, and their lineup should feature at least four lefties, who Nola has struggled to strike out this season. 3/9 K's came from lefties in his last start and Zack Wheeler struck out eight White Sox yesterday, but half were vs lefties. The last two games for Philly have been easy, with starting pitchers going 7+ innings, so we could see that rested bullpen in action early if Nola has trouble. Played at -138 on Fanduel.

The Phillies have dominated this series. Friday, they won 7-0. Saturday, they won 9-5. They actually had a 9-0 lead Saturday before giving up five runs in the top of the ninth. The White Sox are now 3-17 this season with a -65 run differential. The Phillies have a huge starting pitching advantage Sunday with Aaron Nola set to face off against Nick Nastrini. The Phillies are set up for another convincing victory.

Those five runs scored by the Chisox in the ninth inning on Saturday were roughly 15% of the entire scoring output for the Pale Hose this season...so pump the brakes! Remember, yesterday the Sox were down 9-0 into the top of the ninth after Zack Wheeler had carried a no-hitter into the 8th inning for the Phils, while Philly has scored 16 runs the past two nights in dominant wins. It's asking a lot of Sox rookie Nick Nastrini, in just his second MLB start on the mound, to outduel Aaron Nola, who has steadied since a tough opener vs. the Braves, allowing only three runs and nine hits across 19 IP since in three consecutive Phils wins. Play Phillies on Run Line

How do you not keep fading the Pale Hose? They are brutal. Phillies have an ace on the mound. Phillies lineup starting to pound the ball. The kid on the mound for Chicago had a very nice debut start last week but this will be a real test in this bandbox. So many lopsided loss for the Sox and this looks like another one to me