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Bailey Ober was rocked in his season debut but bounced back nicely against the Dodgers earlier this week. With no off-day tomorrow, the Twins need length from him after using seven relievers in yesterday’s doubleheader. He should be built up to enough pitches to throw into the sixth inning, which he did in 14 of his first 16 starts last year before the Twins started limiting his workload coming off a 2022 season where he threw just 72.2 innings, and the Tigers aren’t a particularly imposing matchup with the offense scoring well below league average.
Feel like the Tigers owe us one after losing both games of Saturday's doubleheader. Zack McKinstry single-handedly cost us Game 1. Byron Buxton has joined Carlos Correa (now on the IL) as out of the Twins lineup. Bailey Ober was obliterated in his lone road start so far.
These teams played two yesterday, with one going to extra innings, and the Tigers are in a tough spot after using six relievers considering they don't have an off-day for nearly two weeks. Jack Flaherty has gone six innings in each of his two starts, including last time out when he gave up six runs, so he can be counted on for length. He can also be counted on for around a K per inning, and this is a great matchup with the Twins striking out 10.7 times per game. I believe there's more than a 50 percent chance he gets to six Ks today so I love this value.
Tigers right-hander Jack Flaherty faces a Twins team that strikes out more than any lineup besides Oakland's. The Twins own a 29.3 percent strikeout rate against righties. Flaherty has gone six innings in each of his starts this season, fanning 12 in 12 innings. Look for at least six strikeouts Sunday at home.