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Washington has had an unblemished season but today could be trouble against Oregon. Their prior matchup in mid-October was a game that Oregon let get away late. A late game decision to go for it on fourth down did not pan out, and a missed field goal prevented overtime. Look for Oregon to play as the team that should be undefeated and to take it out on the Huskies. Grab Oregon.
I don't expect this game to be as high-scoring as the first. Washington's offense has gotten progressively worse since then, while Oregon's defense has steadily improved. Washington has begun running the ball with greater frequency as well.
This is an awfully big number for a conference championship. Washington's last three games have been decided by seven points or less. Oregon had a very tough loss on the road against the Huskies where their defense let them down in big spots. Oregon has been the better, more dominant team on both sides of the ball and will look to correct the mistakes they made in Seattle.
This is a big number to lay against a 12-0 Huskies team, but they are certainly fortunate to have escaped with some of their wins, particularly last week against the 5-7 Washington State Cougars. I think this is a case of Washington catching Oregon at the wrong time as Bo Nix has been virtually unstoppable. Add to that the Oregon defense has been very good which has led to Oregon covering spreads with relative ease. As much as I'm worried about a back door cover, I trust the Ducks offense to continue to churn points and this underappreciated Ducks defense to make it a long night for Michael Penix, Jr.
Was only playing if it got to 10. Is Oregon better? Clearly oddsmakers think so and if compare common opponents, etc., there's evidence despite the first meeting's result. But the Ducks aren't THAT much better than unbeaten UW at a neutral site. This reminds of last year's title game when everyone assumed rolling USC would avenge a regular-season loss to Utah. How'd that work out? Maybe this is just wishful thinking because this should be the most entertaining of all the power conference title games. I'm quite sure Kalen DeBoer has been using this disrespect all week. UO may be without injured starting CB Jahlil Lawrence, who has recorded 27.0 tackles, 2.0 tackles for loss, one interception and one sack this season.
I have the Ducks winning comfortably here (as seen in my other pick for this game), and I think it will be in large part due to an outstanding defensive effort against the Huskies. I don't see this game getting above 60 points.
I jumped on this earlier in the week at -8.5, and I'm still on board with taking it at -9.5. Oregon has been on a mission since their loss to the Huskies in Seattle (where they were clearly the better team in my opinion). Bo Nix can lock up the Heisman and a spot in the CFP in this matchup, and Washington hasn't been playing its best football as of late. I expect a dominant performance from the Ducks on both sides of the ball, with them winning by 2+ touchdowns.
The Ducks will get revenge in dynamic fashion in this one. In fact, they’ve been the better team for the majority of the season except for those 60 minutes in Seattle earlier this year. The Huskies’ offense has been tailing off, and the Ducks rank No. 7 in the country in scoring defense. The line looks high, but it isn’t high enough. Bo Nix is about to go off and close out a very strong case to win the Heisman Trophy.
Oregon is the better and more dominant team right now. They score 40. And they make the playoff
"Dominance" can be impacted by various factors, but running up a score (as the Ducks have been wont to do) is a secondary concern to simply winning games, which only Georgia has done better since last season than U-Dub, working on 19 straight Ws including a pair over the Ducks in the past 12 months, Sure, the Huskies haven't won by more than 10 points since September, but they make plays when needed, and QB Michael Penix has been the perfect pilot for Kalen DeBoer offense since arriving from Indiana. Bo Nix and Oregon certainly had their chances in the loss at Seattle, but too much respect given to a succession of lopsided wins. The Huskies at +300 ?! Play Washington ML
Washington has won all 12 of its games but they appear to be running out of gas with short wins in their last eight (2-6 ATS), especially in their last three. QB Michael Penix Jr. has also downgraded his game in the last four with 8 TD passes and 2 interceptions. Their best win was against Oregon in Seattle on Oct. 14. Oregon lost one game and went 10-2 ATS. They have the No. 2 offense in the nation gaining 541 ypg. Oregon appears to be gaining steam and momentum. Oregon also has revenge as a motivator. I’m on Oregon to cover.
I played this angle the first time these two usually high-scoring teams met and it came very close, if not for Oregon failing on a 4th down attempt that would've sealed a 33-29 victory in Seattle. Excluding their matchup with each other, these teams are each 7-4 to the under this season. I think Oregon's defense holds Michael Penix, Jr. somewhat in check and the Ducks will end up in the College Football Playoff. Oregon 34, Washington 17.