Celtics vs. Heat odds, picks: Advanced computer NBA model releases predictions for Tuesday, Jan. 24, 2023

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Tuesday's matchup between the Boston Celtics and Miami Heat

SportsLine Staff

The top teams in the Eastern Conference regular season over the past two seasons clash when the Boston Celtics visit the Miami Heat on Tuesday night. The Celtics (35-13), who are coming off a 113-98 loss at Orlando, are the top seed in the East this season and are 17-8 in road games in 2022-2023. The Heat (26-22), who were the No. 1 seed last season, have won six of the past 10 games and are 15-9 on their home court this year. This will be the fourth and final regular-season meeting between the teams, with the Celtics holding a 2-1 edge.

Tipoff from FTX Arena in Miami is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Miami is favored by 4.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 215.5 points (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before making any Celtics vs. Heat picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 15 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 47-22 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,200. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows Boston small forward Jayson Tatum has been dominant of late, scoring 30 or more points in three of the last four games, including a 51-point performance in a 130-118 win over the Charlotte Hornets on Jan. 16. In Thursday's 121-118 overtime win over Golden State, he poured in 34 points and grabbed 19 rebounds. He has 17 double-doubles and one triple-double on the year, including a 29-point, 14-rebound and 10-assist effort in a 124-95 win over Dallas on Jan. 5. Entering play on Monday, he was averaging 31.2 points, 8.5 rebounds, 4.3 assists and 1.1 steals per game.  

The model also knows Miami is led by small forward Jimmy Butler, who is the model of consistency when it comes to scoring. He leads the Heat by averaging 21.6 points, 6.1 rebounds, five assists and 2.1 steals per game, and is averaging 21.1 points in 11 games this month. He has five double-doubles on the season and is Miami's all-time leader in triple-doubles with 11.

Now, it has set its sights on Celtics vs. Heat We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Celtics vs. Heat? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Celtics vs. Heat spread you should be all over Tuesday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!