Bears vs. Falcons Week 3 Vegas spread, betting odds: Julio Jones injury may hand 'lucky' Chicago another break

Winless Atlanta may not have star receiver Julio Jones vs. unbeaten Chicago on Sunday.

Matt Severance

Has any winless team been more fortunate, maybe even lucky, entering Week 3 this year than the 2-0 Chicago Bears? That good fortune may continue Sunday when the Bears visit the winless Atlanta Falcons, who might not have superstar receiver Julio Jones due to a hamstring injury. Despite the disparate win-loss records and Jones' status, the Falcons are still 3-point favorites on the William Hill NFL odds.

Chicago's two victories are over the winless Lions and Giants. Detroit blew a 23-6 fourth-quarter lead in Week 1 and still should have won in the final seconds if not for a dropped sure-fire TD pass by rookie D'Andre Swift. Last week against New York, the Bears dominated the first half with a 17-0 lead, but the Giants had a chance to win late on the Chicago 10-yard-line. Alas, New York wideout Golden Tate was called for pushing off against Bears safety Eddie Jackson near the goal line on an incomplete pass as time expired.

Atlanta has had nothing but bad luck so far despite a spectacular start to the season from QB Matt Ryan. NFL teams had been 440-0 all-time in games in which they scored at least 39 points and didn't turn the ball over. The Falcons accomplished both last Sunday in Dallas but managed to lose 40-39 despite leading 39-24 with five minutes left. Atlanta botched an onside-kick return, leading to the winning Cowboys field goal.

Should the Falcons lose this game, it could be the end of Coach Dan Quinn and it's likely that Jones will be a game-time decision. Jones played through a minor hamstring issue in Week 1 and torched the Seahawks for nine catches and 157 yards. Last week, he further injured it and wasn't much of a factor with two catches for 24 yards. Jones hasn't practiced this week through Thursday.

One could argue that Jones, a seven-time Pro Bowler, three-time second-team All-Pro, two-time first-team All-Pro and member of the 2010s All-Decade Team who has led the league in receiving yards twice, is the NFL's best wideout – if one doesn't count TD catches. He has only 21 of those in the past 60 games compared to 21 by young teammate Calvin Ridley in his first 31 career games. Ridley has been a monster in the first two weeks this year with 16 catches for 239 yards (tied for first in NFL) and four scores (first).

With at least 100 receiving yards and a touchdown reception Sunday, Ridley would become the fifth player with at least 100 receiving yards and a TD catch in each of his team's first three games of a season in NFL history. Three of the previous four to do it were future Hall of Famers in Randy Moss (2007 Patriots), Marvin Harrison (1999 Colts) and Jerry Rice (1989 49ers). The fourth was Dwight Clark (1982 49ers).

The Bears are 1-6 against the spread in their past seven road games, while the Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their past seven as favorites. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the past six in this series.

Who wins every NFL game this week? And which teams cover more than 50 percent of the time? Get picks here from the SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks.