The Angels have lost 10 of their last 12 games despite just wrapping up a nine-game homestand, and now they hit the road to face one of MLB's best teams. Don't believe me? The Guardians are 16-6 in non-one run games, have a top-five run differential and are 11-7 against teams that are .500 or better. I don't think they're getting properly priced on the run line at home against an Angels team that's lost by two-plus runs in 15 of its 31 games and is now missing star slugger Mike Trout.

The Angels are reeling. They have lost 11 of their last 13 games and are now without Mike Trout (knee). Starting for them Friday will be Jose Soriano, who has shown significant control issues during his time in the minors and majors. Over his last three starts, he has walked 11 batters across 12 2/3 innings. The Guardians are 20-11 and will be starting Tanner Bibee, who has allowed two or fewer runs in four of his last five starts. I’ll pay the juice and take the Guardians to win.